Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Club Cienciano v Botafogo

2026-08-12 20:00 UTC — Copa Sudamericana

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Club Cienciano (Local)

Prediction 50.09%2.00fair odd
EV -3.82%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -4.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.48%50.09%49.96%50.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.831.851.9257.14%54.54%54.20%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Botafogo (Visit)

Prediction 24.07%4.15fair odd
EV -0.599%
Edge -0.145%
Kelly -0.191%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.95%24.07%23.99%24.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.833.804.1327.78%26.10%26.32%24.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.84%3.87fair odd
EV -0.002%
Edge -0.000%
Kelly -0.001%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.82%25.84%26.05%26.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.493.503.8731.25%28.67%28.57%25.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.99%EV -3.82%E -1.99%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.71%EV -0.599%E -0.145%K -0.191%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.30%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-30 18:07
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 50.18%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -4.93%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.98%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-30 17:44
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 50.30%EV -6.83%E -3.67%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.88%EV -9.50%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.82%EV -2.59%E -0.686%K -0.933%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 17:45
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.33%E -3.96%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.54%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-30 18:19
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.33%E -3.96%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.54%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-30 18:19
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.33%E -3.96%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.54%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-30 18:20
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.33%E -3.96%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.54%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-30 18:20
Codere (IT)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.36%EV -7.83%E -4.26%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -3.73%E -0.932%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 16:09
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -8.33%E -4.55%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -6.13%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-30 16:05
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -8.33%E -4.55%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -13.36%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -14.73%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-30 17:40
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -8.83%E -4.85%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -3.73%E -0.932%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.85%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-30 17:15
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -9.83%E -5.46%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.54%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-30 17:14
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.72%EV -12.34%E -7.05%K -16.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.51%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.77%EV -16.02%E -4.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-30 16:05
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 49.19%EV -12.34%E -7.05%K -16.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.91%EV -13.36%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.90%EV -17.31%E -5.41%K -7.87%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-30 17:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.