預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Club Cienciano v Botafogo

開賽時間: 2026-08-14 00:30 UTC

最終賽果: Club Cienciano 6–1 Botafogo

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

28 家博彩公司 (6 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Club Cienciano (主隊)

預測 35.32%2.83公平賠率
EV +0.663%
優勢 +0.233%
Kelly +0.358%
成長率 +0.002%

假設最高賠率為 2.85

博彩公司預測分布
32.80%35.13%35.29%35.92%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.482.622.602.8540.32%38.19%38.46%35.09%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Botafogo (客隊)

預測 35.68%2.80公平賠率
EV -0.108%
優勢 -0.039%
Kelly -0.060%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.80

博彩公司預測分布
33.96%35.70%35.79%38.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.402.602.602.8041.67%38.49%38.46%35.71%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 29.00%3.45公平賠率
EV -4.29%
優勢 -1.30%
Kelly -1.86%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.30

博彩公司預測分布
28.38%29.17%28.92%30.20%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.953.123.103.3033.90%32.10%32.26%30.30%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Club Cienciano (主隊):35.32%;Botafogo (客隊):35.68%;和局:29.00%。 對於「Club Cienciano (主隊)」,該估計相當於2.83的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為2.85,對應+0.663%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (28 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.80%EV +0.663%E +0.233%K +0.358%G +0.002%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.00%EV -12.24%E -4.97%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 00:24
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -2.87%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 00:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.61%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.34%EV -0.108%E -0.039%K -0.060%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.05%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-13 23:45
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -5.46%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 00:14
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.99%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-14 00:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.99%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-14 00:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.99%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-14 00:24
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.99%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-14 00:24
Pinnacle🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.84%EV -6.05%E -2.27%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.18%EV -3.32%E -1.22%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.98%EV -4.58%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 00:15
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -6.40%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 00:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.40%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.74%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 00:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.40%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.74%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 00:19
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -6.40%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 00:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -1.89%E -0.688%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -10.09%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 22:44
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -1.89%E -0.688%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -10.09%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 22:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -1.89%E -0.688%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -10.09%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 22:44
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -1.89%E -0.688%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -10.09%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 22:44
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-14 00:15
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.99%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 00:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -14.38%E -5.99%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -8.64%E -2.74%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-14 00:19
NordicBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.78%EV -8.87%E -3.44%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.44%EV -4.39%E -1.64%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -10.09%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 00:24
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.93%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-14 00:15
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.70%E -4.68%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -10.09%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-14 00:14
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.70%E -4.68%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -10.09%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-14 00:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.78%EV -12.41%E -5.00%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.13%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -14.44%E -4.89%K -7.40%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-13 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.78%EV -12.41%E -5.00%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.13%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -14.44%E -4.89%K -7.40%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-13 22:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.78%EV -12.41%E -5.00%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.13%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -14.44%E -4.89%K -7.40%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-13 22:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.78%EV -12.41%E -5.00%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.13%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -14.44%E -4.89%K -7.40%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-13 22:44
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Smarkets◎2.80I 35.71%NM 36.03%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.85%3.35I 29.85%NM 30.12%-0.9%2026-08-14 00:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%1.1%2026-08-14 00:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%1.1%2026-08-14 00:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%1.1%2026-08-14 00:24