语言:简体中文
Club Cienciano v Botafogo
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Club Cienciano (主队)
预测 35.32%2.83公平赔率
EV +0.663%
优势 +0.233%
Kelly +0.358%
增长率 +0.002%
假设最高赔率为 2.85
博彩公司预测分布
32.80%35.13%35.29%35.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.482.622.602.8540.32%38.19%38.46%35.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
Botafogo (客队)
预测 35.68%2.80公平赔率
EV -0.108%
优势 -0.039%
Kelly -0.060%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.80
博彩公司预测分布
33.96%35.70%35.79%38.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.602.602.8041.67%38.49%38.46%35.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 29.00%3.45公平赔率
EV -4.29%
优势 -1.30%
Kelly -1.86%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.30
博彩公司预测分布
28.38%29.17%28.92%30.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.953.123.103.3033.90%32.10%32.26%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Club Cienciano (主队)：35.32%；Botafogo (客队)：35.68%；平局：29.00%。 对于“Club Cienciano (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.83。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.85，对应+0.663%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.80%EV +0.663%E +0.233%K +0.358%G +0.002% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.00%EV -12.24%E -4.97%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -2.87%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 00:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.61%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.34%EV -0.108%E -0.039%K -0.060%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.05%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-13 23:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -5.46%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 00:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.99%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.99%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.99%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.99%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.84%EV -6.05%E -2.27%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.18%EV -3.32%E -1.22%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.98%EV -4.58%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 00:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -6.40%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.40%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.74%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 00:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.40%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.74%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 00:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -6.40%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 00:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -1.89%E -0.688%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -10.09%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -1.89%E -0.688%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -10.09%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -1.89%E -0.688%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -10.09%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -1.89%E -0.688%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -10.09%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-14 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.99%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-14 00:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -14.38%E -5.99%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -8.64%E -2.74%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-14 00:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.78%EV -8.87%E -3.44%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.44%EV -4.39%E -1.64%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -10.09%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.93%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-14 00:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.70%E -4.68%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -10.09%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-14 00:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.70%E -4.68%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -10.09%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-14 00:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.78%EV -12.41%E -5.00%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.13%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -14.44%E -4.89%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.78%EV -12.41%E -5.00%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.13%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -14.44%E -4.89%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.78%EV -12.41%E -5.00%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.13%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -14.44%E -4.89%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.78%EV -12.41%E -5.00%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.13%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -14.44%E -4.89%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 36.03% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.85% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 30.12% | -0.9% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.58% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.58% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.58% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |