語言:繁體中文
Boca Juniors v Sao Paulo
收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →
獨贏
Boca Juniors (主隊)
預測 49.98%2.00公平賠率
EV -2.05%
優勢 -1.04%
Kelly -2.13%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 1.96
博彩公司預測分布
47.96%50.03%49.69%51.31%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.781.861.851.9656.18%53.88%54.05%51.02%最小值平均值中位數最大值
Sao Paulo (客隊)
預測 19.28%5.19公平賠率
EV +3.75%
優勢 +0.697%
Kelly +0.856%
成長率 +0.032%
假設最高賠率為 5.38
博彩公司預測分布
17.84%19.17%19.51%21.13%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.204.684.605.3823.81%21.37%21.74%18.59%最小值平均值中位數最大值
和局
預測 30.74%3.25公平賠率
EV -1.63%
優勢 -0.511%
Kelly -0.743%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 3.20
博彩公司預測分布
29.69%30.80%30.79%32.06%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.803.003.003.2035.71%33.37%33.33%31.25%最小值平均值中位數最大值
依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Boca Juniors (主隊)：49.98%；Sao Paulo (客隊)：19.28%；和局：30.74%。 對於「Sao Paulo (客隊)」，該估計相當於5.19的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為5.38，對應+3.75%的正期望值。
博彩公司賠率 (29 家博彩公司)
本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 ▼ | 和局 | 利潤率 | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.31%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.84%EV +3.75%E +0.697%K +0.856%G +0.032% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.85%EV -4.40%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 00:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.08%EV -2.05%E -1.04%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.86%EV -1.65%E -0.324%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.06%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-08 23:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -3.58%E -0.716%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 00:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.20%EV -7.04%E -3.79%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.58%E -0.716%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 00:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -3.58%E -0.716%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 00:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.08%EV -3.55%E -1.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.72%EV -5.51%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%EV -1.63%E -0.511%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-09 00:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.15%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.56%EV -7.44%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 00:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.67%EV -5.54%E -2.93%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.56%EV -7.44%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 00:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.70%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -8.40%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.44%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -8.40%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.99%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 00:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.62%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -8.40%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 00:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.05%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -8.40%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -13.93%E -4.97%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 00:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.74%EV -10.33%E -2.22%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.44%EV -10.24%E -3.51%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.62%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.62%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 00:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.62%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 00:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.62%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 00:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 00:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 00:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 00:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 00:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.16%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.24%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.60%EV -13.93%E -4.97%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 00:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.77%EV -11.04%E -6.20%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.69%EV -13.22%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-09 00:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.15%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -16.11%E -3.70%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.15%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -16.11%E -3.70%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.15%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -16.11%E -3.70%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.15%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -16.11%E -3.70%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 00:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.96%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -19.01%E -4.53%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.91%EV -11.78%E -4.10%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-09 00:04 |
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率
更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 和局 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.83% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.47% | 0.9% | 2026-09-09 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.96% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 1.1% | 2026-09-09 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.96% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 1.1% | 2026-09-09 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.99% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.26% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.75% | 1.6% | 2026-09-09 00:25 |