语言:简体中文
Boca Juniors v Sao Paulo
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Boca Juniors (主队)
预测 49.98%2.00公平赔率
EV -2.05%
优势 -1.04%
Kelly -2.13%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.96
博彩公司预测分布
47.96%50.03%49.69%51.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.781.861.851.9656.18%53.88%54.05%51.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
Sao Paulo (客队)
预测 19.28%5.19公平赔率
EV +3.75%
优势 +0.697%
Kelly +0.856%
增长率 +0.032%
假设最高赔率为 5.38
博彩公司预测分布
17.84%19.17%19.51%21.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.684.605.3823.81%21.37%21.74%18.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 30.74%3.25公平赔率
EV -1.63%
优势 -0.511%
Kelly -0.743%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.20
博彩公司预测分布
29.69%30.80%30.79%32.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.003.003.2035.71%33.37%33.33%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Boca Juniors (主队)：49.98%；Sao Paulo (客队)：19.28%；平局：30.74%。 对于“Sao Paulo (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.19。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.38，对应+3.75%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.31%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.84%EV +3.75%E +0.697%K +0.856%G +0.032% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.85%EV -4.40%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 00:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.08%EV -2.05%E -1.04%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.86%EV -1.65%E -0.324%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.06%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-08 23:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -3.58%E -0.716%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 00:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.20%EV -7.04%E -3.79%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.58%E -0.716%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 00:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -3.58%E -0.716%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 00:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.08%EV -3.55%E -1.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.72%EV -5.51%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%EV -1.63%E -0.511%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-09 00:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.15%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.56%EV -7.44%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 00:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.67%EV -5.54%E -2.93%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.56%EV -7.44%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 00:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.70%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -8.40%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.44%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -8.40%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.99%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 00:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.62%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -8.40%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 00:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.05%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -8.40%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -13.93%E -4.97%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 00:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.74%EV -10.33%E -2.22%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.44%EV -10.24%E -3.51%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.62%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.62%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 00:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.62%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 00:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.62%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 00:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 00:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 00:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 00:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 00:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.16%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.24%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.60%EV -13.93%E -4.97%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 00:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.77%EV -11.04%E -6.20%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.69%EV -13.22%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-09 00:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.15%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -16.11%E -3.70%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.15%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -16.11%E -3.70%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.15%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -16.11%E -3.70%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.15%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -16.11%E -3.70%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 00:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.96%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -19.01%E -4.53%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.91%EV -11.78%E -4.10%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-09 00:04 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.83% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.47% | 0.9% | 2026-09-09 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.96% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 1.1% | 2026-09-09 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.96% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 1.1% | 2026-09-09 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.99% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.26% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.75% | 1.6% | 2026-09-09 00:25 |