Lingua:Italiano
Boca Juniors v Sao Paulo
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Boca Juniors (Casa)
Previsione 49.98%2.00quota equa
EV -2.05%
Vantaggio -1.04%
Kelly -2.13%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.96
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.96%50.03%49.69%51.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.781.861.851.9656.18%53.88%54.05%51.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Sao Paulo (Trasferta)
Previsione 19.28%5.19quota equa
EV +3.75%
Vantaggio +0.697%
Kelly +0.856%
Crescita +0.032%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.38
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.84%19.17%19.51%21.13%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.684.605.3823.81%21.37%21.74%18.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 30.74%3.25quota equa
EV -1.63%
Vantaggio -0.511%
Kelly -0.743%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.69%30.80%30.79%32.06%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.003.003.2035.71%33.37%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Boca Juniors (Casa): 49.98%; Sao Paulo (Trasferta): 19.28%; Pareggio: 30.74%. Per Sao Paulo (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.19. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 5.38, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.75%.
Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.31%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.84%EV +3.75%E +0.697%K +0.856%G +0.032% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.85%EV -4.40%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 00:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.08%EV -2.05%E -1.04%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.86%EV -1.65%E -0.324%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.06%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-08 23:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -3.58%E -0.716%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 00:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.20%EV -7.04%E -3.79%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.58%E -0.716%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 00:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -3.58%E -0.716%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 00:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.08%EV -3.55%E -1.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.72%EV -5.51%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%EV -1.63%E -0.511%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-09 00:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.15%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.56%EV -7.44%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 00:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.67%EV -5.54%E -2.93%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.56%EV -7.44%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 00:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.70%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -8.40%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.44%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -8.40%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.99%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 00:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.62%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -8.40%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 00:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.05%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -8.40%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -13.93%E -4.97%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 00:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.74%EV -10.33%E -2.22%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.44%EV -10.24%E -3.51%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.62%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.62%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 00:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.62%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 00:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.62%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 00:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 00:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 00:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 00:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 00:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.16%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.24%EV -11.29%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.60%EV -13.93%E -4.97%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 00:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.77%EV -11.04%E -6.20%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.69%EV -13.22%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-09 00:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.15%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -16.11%E -3.70%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.15%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -16.11%E -3.70%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.15%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -16.11%E -3.70%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.15%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -16.11%E -3.70%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 00:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.96%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -19.01%E -4.53%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.91%EV -11.78%E -4.10%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-09 00:04 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.83% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.47% | 0.9% | 2026-09-09 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.96% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 1.1% | 2026-09-09 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.96% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 1.1% | 2026-09-09 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.99% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.26% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.75% | 1.6% | 2026-09-09 00:25 |