The School of Odds

Boca Juniors v O'Higgins

2026-07-24 00:30 — Copa Sudamericana

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Boca Juniors (Local)

1.2480.65%Min
1.2877.90%Mean
1.2977.52%Median
1.3474.63%Max
69.21%1.445Min
74.62%1.340Max
70.71%1.414Mean
70.71%1.414Median
70.71%1.414IQM
70.67%1.415Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.34 under the IQM model: 70.71%

EV -5.25%Edge -3.92%Kelly -15.44%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: O'Higgins (Visit)

7.7012.99%Min
9.5010.52%Mean
10.0010.00%Median
11.808.47%Max
8.28%12.071Min
11.21%8.917Max
9.85%10.155Mean
9.85%10.155Median
9.85%10.155IQM
9.76%10.248Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 11.80 under the IQM model: 9.85%

EV +16.20%Edge +1.37%Kelly +1.50%Growth +0.243%

Option 3: Draw

4.3323.09%Min
4.8720.55%Mean
4.8020.83%Median
5.7217.48%Max
17.09%5.851Min
20.41%4.898Max
19.44%5.144Mean
19.44%5.144Median
19.44%5.144IQM
19.58%5.108Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.72 under the IQM model: 19.44%

EV +11.21%Edge +1.96%Kelly +2.37%Growth +0.266%

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

BookmakerBoca Juniors (Local)O'Higgins (Visit)Draw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet1.31I 76.34% NM 74.62%EV -7.37% E -5.63% K -23.77% G +0.000%11.80I 8.47% NM 8.28%EV +16.20% E +1.37% K +1.50% G +0.243%5.72I 17.48% NM 17.09%EV +11.21% E +1.96% K +2.37% G +0.266%2.3%2026-07-04 06:50
Bovada1.29I 77.52% NM 72.62%EV -8.78% E -6.81% K -30.29% G +0.000%10.00I 10.00% NM 9.37%EV -1.52% E -0.152% K -0.169% G +0.000%5.20I 19.23% NM 18.01%EV +1.10% E +0.211% K +0.261% G +0.003%6.8%2026-07-04 06:51
Codere (IT)1.30I 76.92% NM 71.04%EV -8.08% E -6.21% K -26.92% G +0.000%8.80I 11.36% NM 10.49%EV -13.34% E -1.52% K -1.71% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.47%EV -2.79% E -0.558% K -0.698% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 18:29
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92% NM 70.77%EV -8.08% E -6.21% K -26.92% G +0.000%8.50I 11.76% NM 10.82%EV -16.29% E -1.92% K -2.17% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.40%EV -2.79% E -0.558% K -0.698% G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 00:00
SportsBet1.27I 78.74% NM 72.46%EV -10.20% E -8.03% K -37.77% G +0.000%10.50I 9.52% NM 8.76%EV +3.40% E +0.324% K +0.358% G +0.012%4.90I 20.41% NM 18.78%EV -4.73% E -0.966% K -1.21% G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-01 17:40
Coral1.28I 78.13% NM 70.09%EV -9.49% E -7.41% K -33.90% G +0.000%8.00I 12.50% NM 11.21%EV -21.22% E -2.65% K -3.03% G +0.000%4.80I 20.83% NM 18.69%EV -6.68% E -1.39% K -1.76% G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-04 06:35
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00% NM 72.04%EV -11.61% E -9.29% K -46.45% G +0.000%10.00I 10.00% NM 9.00%EV -1.52% E -0.152% K -0.169% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 18.96%EV -7.65% E -1.61% K -2.04% G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-01 17:39
NordicBet1.29I 77.52% NM 71.85%EV -8.78% E -6.81% K -30.29% G +0.000%11.00I 9.09% NM 8.43%EV +8.33% E +0.757% K +0.833% G +0.069%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.72%EV -8.62% E -1.83% K -2.33% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 12:49
Coolbet1.34I 74.63% NM 70.38%EV -5.25% E -3.92% K -15.44% G +0.000%10.25I 9.76% NM 9.20%EV +0.939% E +0.092% K +0.102% G +0.001%4.62I 21.65% NM 20.41%EV -10.18% E -2.20% K -2.81% G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 16:19
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65% NM 69.61%EV -12.32% E -9.93% K -51.33% G +0.000%7.70I 12.99% NM 11.21%EV -24.17% E -3.14% K -3.61% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 19.18%EV -12.51% E -2.78% K -3.57% G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-01 18:30
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00% NM 69.21%EV -11.61% E -9.29% K -46.45% G +0.000%8.00I 12.50% NM 10.81%EV -21.22% E -2.65% K -3.03% G +0.000%4.33I 23.09% NM 19.98%EV -15.82% E -3.65% K -4.75% G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-01 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerBoca Juniors (Local)O'Higgins (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%7.40I 13.51%4.40I 22.73%16.9%2026-07-01 18:30