La escuela de los momiosBoca Juniors v O'Higgins
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Boca Juniors (Local)
Predicción 66.95%1.49momio equitativo
EV -4.93%
Ventaja -3.47%
Kelly -11.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.57%66.94%67.04%69.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.371.381.4275.76%72.84%72.20%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
O'Higgins (Visitante)
Predicción 11.67%8.57momio equitativo
EV +10.90%
Ventaja +1.15%
Kelly +1.28%
Crecimiento +0.140%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.63%11.69%11.66%13.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.508.378.259.5015.38%11.95%12.12%10.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.38%4.68momio equitativo
EV +1.53%
Ventaja +0.323%
Kelly +0.409%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.01%21.37%21.30%22.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.374.354.7525.00%22.89%22.99%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (28 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.50%EV -7.61%E -5.51%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.10%EV +10.90%E +1.15%K +1.28%G +0.140% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.41%EV +0.466%E +0.099%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.19%EV -8.95%E -6.58%K -24.85%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV +10.90%E +1.15%K +1.28%G +0.140% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.81%E -0.846%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Unibet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.19%EV -8.95%E -6.58%K -24.85%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV +10.90%E +1.15%K +1.28%G +0.140% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.81%E -0.846%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.19%EV -8.95%E -6.58%K -24.85%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV +10.90%E +1.15%K +1.28%G +0.140% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.81%E -0.846%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.19%EV -8.95%E -6.58%K -24.85%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV +10.90%E +1.15%K +1.28%G +0.140% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.81%E -0.846%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.33%EV -11.62%E -8.81%K -36.33%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV +10.90%E +1.15%K +1.28%G +0.140% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV -7.02%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.33%EV -11.62%E -8.81%K -36.33%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV +10.90%E +1.15%K +1.28%G +0.140% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV -7.02%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.33%EV -11.62%E -8.81%K -36.33%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV +10.90%E +1.15%K +1.28%G +0.140% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV -7.02%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.33%EV -11.62%E -8.81%K -36.33%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV +10.90%E +1.15%K +1.28%G +0.140% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV -7.02%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.70%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.45%EV +7.39%E +0.804%K +0.902%G +0.067% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -5.95%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.37%EV -8.28%E -6.04%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 8.95I 11.17%NM 10.62%EV +4.47%E +0.500%K +0.563%G +0.025% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV +1.53%E +0.323%K +0.409%G +0.006% | 5.2% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.66%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 8.72I 11.47%NM 10.86%EV +1.79%E +0.205%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.48%EV -5.73%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.92%EV -6.94%E -4.99%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.11%EV -0.778%E -0.092%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -3.81%E -0.846%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-23 23:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.06%EV -10.29%E -7.68%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -0.778%E -0.092%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.21%EV -8.08%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Bovada | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -6.61%E -0.827%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -3.81%E -0.846%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-24 00:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -6.61%E -0.827%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -3.81%E -0.846%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.43%EV -10.96%E -8.24%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -6.61%E -0.827%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.22%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -12.45%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.81%E -0.846%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -12.45%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.22%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-23 23:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -12.45%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.22%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-23 23:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -12.45%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.22%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-23 23:35 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -12.45%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.22%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-23 23:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -12.45%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.22%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-23 23:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.23%EV -10.96%E -8.24%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -12.45%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -14.50%E -3.62%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.52%EV -13.62%E -1.84%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -9.15%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.16%EV -10.96%E -8.24%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.07%EV -13.62%E -1.84%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.77%EV -8.08%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.79%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.98%EV -15.95%E -2.22%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -5.95%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -24.12%E -3.71%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.22%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 0.7% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 0.7% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.26% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 1.0% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.30% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59% | 1.2% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |