Langue:Français
Boca Juniors v O'Higgins
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Boca Juniors (Local)
Prévision 66.95%1.49cote équitable
EV -4.93%
Avantage -3.47%
Kelly -11.74%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.42
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.57%66.94%67.04%69.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.321.371.381.4275.76%72.84%72.20%70.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
O'Higgins (Visiteur)
Prévision 11.67%8.57cote équitable
EV +10.90%
Avantage +1.15%
Kelly +1.28%
Croissance +0.140%
avec la cote maximale 9.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.63%11.69%11.66%13.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.508.378.259.5015.38%11.95%12.12%10.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 21.38%4.68cote équitable
EV +1.53%
Avantage +0.323%
Kelly +0.409%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 4.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.01%21.37%21.30%22.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.374.354.7525.00%22.89%22.99%21.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Boca Juniors (Local) : 66.95% ; O'Higgins (Visiteur) : 11.67% ; Match nul : 21.38%. Pour O'Higgins (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 8.57. 12 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 9.50, soit une espérance positive de +10.90%.
Cotes des opérateurs (28 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.50%EV -7.61%E -5.51%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.10%EV +10.90%E +1.15%K +1.28%G +0.140% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.41%EV +0.466%E +0.099%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.19%EV -8.95%E -6.58%K -24.85%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV +10.90%E +1.15%K +1.28%G +0.140% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.81%E -0.846%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.19%EV -8.95%E -6.58%K -24.85%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV +10.90%E +1.15%K +1.28%G +0.140% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.81%E -0.846%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.19%EV -8.95%E -6.58%K -24.85%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV +10.90%E +1.15%K +1.28%G +0.140% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.81%E -0.846%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.19%EV -8.95%E -6.58%K -24.85%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV +10.90%E +1.15%K +1.28%G +0.140% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.81%E -0.846%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.33%EV -11.62%E -8.81%K -36.33%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV +10.90%E +1.15%K +1.28%G +0.140% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV -7.02%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.33%EV -11.62%E -8.81%K -36.33%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV +10.90%E +1.15%K +1.28%G +0.140% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV -7.02%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.33%EV -11.62%E -8.81%K -36.33%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV +10.90%E +1.15%K +1.28%G +0.140% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV -7.02%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.33%EV -11.62%E -8.81%K -36.33%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV +10.90%E +1.15%K +1.28%G +0.140% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV -7.02%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.70%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.45%EV +7.39%E +0.804%K +0.902%G +0.067% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -5.95%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.37%EV -8.28%E -6.04%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 8.95I 11.17%NM 10.62%EV +4.47%E +0.500%K +0.563%G +0.025% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV +1.53%E +0.323%K +0.409%G +0.006% | 5.2% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.66%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 8.72I 11.47%NM 10.86%EV +1.79%E +0.205%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.48%EV -5.73%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.92%EV -6.94%E -4.99%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.11%EV -0.778%E -0.092%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -3.81%E -0.846%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-23 23:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.06%EV -10.29%E -7.68%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -0.778%E -0.092%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.21%EV -8.08%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -6.61%E -0.827%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -3.81%E -0.846%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-24 00:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -6.61%E -0.827%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -3.81%E -0.846%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.43%EV -10.96%E -8.24%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -6.61%E -0.827%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.22%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -12.45%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.81%E -0.846%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -12.45%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.22%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-23 23:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -12.45%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.22%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-23 23:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -12.45%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.22%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-23 23:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -12.45%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.22%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-23 23:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -12.45%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.22%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-23 23:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.23%EV -10.96%E -8.24%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -12.45%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -14.50%E -3.62%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.52%EV -13.62%E -1.84%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -9.15%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.16%EV -10.96%E -8.24%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.07%EV -13.62%E -1.84%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.77%EV -8.08%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.79%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.98%EV -15.95%E -2.22%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -5.95%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -24.12%E -3.71%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.22%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 0.7% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 0.7% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.26% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 1.0% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.30% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59% | 1.2% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |