语言:简体中文
Blooming v Bragantino-SP
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Blooming (主队)
预测 28.43%3.52公平赔率
EV -1.92%
优势 -0.557%
Kelly -0.785%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.45
博彩公司预测分布
27.26%28.50%28.43%29.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.053.293.303.4532.79%30.40%30.30%28.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
Bragantino-SP (客队)
预测 44.75%2.23公平赔率
EV -4.24%
优势 -1.98%
Kelly -3.72%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.14
博彩公司预测分布
43.81%44.57%44.75%45.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.932.052.072.1451.81%48.72%48.31%46.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 26.82%3.73公平赔率
EV -0.753%
优势 -0.203%
Kelly -0.279%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.70
博彩公司预测分布
25.80%26.94%26.82%27.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.443.453.7030.77%29.08%28.99%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Blooming (主队)：28.43%；Bragantino-SP (客队)：44.75%；平局：26.82%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.73。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.70，期望值为-0.753%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.21%EV -1.92%E -0.557%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.48%EV -4.24%E -1.98%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.31%EV -0.753%E -0.203%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-08 00:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -1.92%E -0.557%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -8.27%E -4.03%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 00:21 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -3.34%E -0.984%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.62%EV -7.37%E -3.56%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -3.34%E -0.984%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.62%EV -7.37%E -3.56%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -3.34%E -0.984%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.62%EV -7.37%E -3.56%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -3.34%E -0.984%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.62%EV -7.37%E -3.56%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.24%EV -4.20%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.88%EV -5.13%E -2.42%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.88%EV -5.04%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -4.77%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -3.44%E -0.954%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 00:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.52%EV -5.33%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.02%EV -5.58%E -2.65%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.46%EV -3.70%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.19%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.19%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.19%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-08 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.19%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 00:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.19%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 00:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-08 00:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.27%E -4.03%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -6.92%E -3.33%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.82%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-08 00:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -12.74%E -6.53%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-08 00:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.87%E -3.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -13.29%E -4.36%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.45%EV -13.64%E -7.07%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-08 00:14 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.57% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.80% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 1.1% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.80% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 1.1% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 1.9% | 2026-05-08 00:20 |