L’École des cotesFrançais
Blooming v Bragantino-SP
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Blooming (Local)
Prévision 28.43%3.52cote équitable
EV -1.92%
Avantage -0.557%
Kelly -0.785%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.26%28.50%28.43%29.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.293.303.4532.79%30.40%30.30%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Bragantino-SP (Visiteur)
Prévision 44.75%2.23cote équitable
EV -4.24%
Avantage -1.98%
Kelly -3.72%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.14
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.81%44.57%44.75%45.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.932.052.072.1451.81%48.72%48.31%46.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.82%3.73cote équitable
EV -0.753%
Avantage -0.203%
Kelly -0.279%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.80%26.94%26.82%27.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.443.453.7030.77%29.08%28.99%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (25 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.21%EV -1.92%E -0.557%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.48%EV -4.24%E -1.98%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.31%EV -0.753%E -0.203%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-08 00:24 |
| Bovada | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -1.92%E -0.557%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -8.27%E -4.03%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 00:21 |
| Unibet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -3.34%E -0.984%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.62%EV -7.37%E -3.56%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -3.34%E -0.984%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.62%EV -7.37%E -3.56%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Casumo | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -3.34%E -0.984%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.62%EV -7.37%E -3.56%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -3.34%E -0.984%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.62%EV -7.37%E -3.56%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Pinnacle | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.24%EV -4.20%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.88%EV -5.13%E -2.42%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.88%EV -5.04%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| DraftKings | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -4.77%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -3.44%E -0.954%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 00:19 |
| 1xBet | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.52%EV -5.33%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.02%EV -5.58%E -2.65%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.46%EV -3.70%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.19%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| LeoVegas | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.19%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.19%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-08 00:20 |
| SportsBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.19%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 00:04 |
| Paddy Power | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.19%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 00:05 |
| 888sport | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-08 00:24 |
| William Hill | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.27%E -4.03%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 00:15 |
| NordicBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -6.92%E -3.33%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Sky Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.82%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-08 00:20 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -12.74%E -6.53%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-08 00:15 |
| betfred_uk | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.87%E -3.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -13.29%E -4.36%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.45%EV -13.64%E -7.07%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-08 00:14 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.57% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.80% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 1.1% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.80% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 1.1% | 2026-05-08 00:25 |
| Smarkets | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 1.9% | 2026-05-08 00:20 |