La scuola delle quote

Blooming v Bragantino-SP

Inizio: 2026-05-08 00:30 UTC

Finale: Blooming 0–6 Bragantino-SP

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

25 bookmaker (4 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Blooming (Casa)

Previsione 28.43%3.52quota equa
EV -1.92%
Vantaggio -0.557%
Kelly -0.785%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.26%28.50%28.43%29.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.053.293.303.4532.79%30.40%30.30%28.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Bragantino-SP (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.75%2.23quota equa
EV -4.24%
Vantaggio -1.98%
Kelly -3.72%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.14

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.81%44.57%44.75%45.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.932.052.072.1451.81%48.72%48.31%46.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.82%3.73quota equa
EV -0.753%
Vantaggio -0.203%
Kelly -0.279%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.80%26.94%26.82%27.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.443.453.7030.77%29.08%28.99%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (25 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.21%EV -1.92%E -0.557%K -0.785%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.48%EV -4.24%E -1.98%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.31%EV -0.753%E -0.203%K -0.279%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-08 00:24
Bovada3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -1.92%E -0.557%K -0.785%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -8.27%E -4.03%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 00:21
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -3.34%E -0.984%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.62%EV -7.37%E -3.56%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 00:25
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -3.34%E -0.984%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.62%EV -7.37%E -3.56%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 00:25
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -3.34%E -0.984%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.62%EV -7.37%E -3.56%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 00:25
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -3.34%E -0.984%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.62%EV -7.37%E -3.56%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 00:25
Pinnacle3.37I 29.67%NM 28.24%EV -4.20%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.88%EV -5.13%E -2.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.88%EV -5.04%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 00:25
DraftKings3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -4.77%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -3.44%E -0.954%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 00:19
1xBet3.33I 30.03%NM 28.52%EV -5.33%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.02%EV -5.58%E -2.65%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.46%EV -3.70%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 00:25
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.19%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 00:25
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.19%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.19%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 00:20
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.19%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 00:04
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.19%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 00:05
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 00:25
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 00:25
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 00:25
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 00:24
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.27%E -4.03%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 00:25
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 00:15
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -6.92%E -3.33%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 00:25
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.82%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-08 00:20
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -12.74%E -6.53%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-08 00:15
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.87%E -3.83%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 00:10
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -13.29%E -4.36%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.45%EV -13.64%E -7.07%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-08 00:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.57%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-05-08 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-05-08 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.80%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-05-08 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.80%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-05-08 00:25
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.9%2026-05-08 00:20