Language:English
Barracas Central v Olimpia Asunción
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Barracas Central (Local)
Prediction 31.29%3.20fair odd
EV -4.58%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.78%31.40%31.22%33.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.892.883.0536.36%34.62%34.72%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Olimpia Asunción (Visit)
Prediction 36.06%2.77fair odd
EV +0.961%
Edge +0.343%
Kelly +0.534%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.28%35.95%36.06%37.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.612.612.8042.55%38.29%38.31%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.66%3.06fair odd
EV -0.395%
Edge -0.129%
Kelly -0.192%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.71%32.65%32.72%33.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.852.853.0538.02%35.11%35.09%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barracas Central (Local): 31.29%; Olimpia Asunción (Visit): 36.06%; Draw: 32.66%. For Olimpia Asunción (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.961%.
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 33.10%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV +0.961%E +0.343%K +0.534%G +0.005% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.02%EV -0.395%E -0.129%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-06 23:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -2.64%E -0.980%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -3.66%E -1.24%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 23:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -2.64%E -0.980%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -3.66%E -1.24%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 23:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -2.64%E -0.980%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -3.66%E -1.24%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 23:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -2.64%E -0.980%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -3.66%E -1.24%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 23:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -4.58%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.06%EV -4.81%E -1.82%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.72%EV -4.97%E -1.71%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 23:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.94%EV -6.77%E -2.27%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.33%EV -5.53%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -5.53%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -5.53%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -5.53%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -5.53%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.72%EV -5.53%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.66%EV -10.21%E -3.56%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.68%EV -5.53%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 23:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -4.58%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.38%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.29%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 23:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 23:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -13.97%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 23:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -13.97%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 23:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -13.97%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 23:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -13.97%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 23:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.28%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -14.11%E -5.37%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -8.65%E -2.96%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -6.97%E -2.70%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -5.95%E -2.06%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-06 23:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.86%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -5.95%E -2.06%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-06 23:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.86%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-06 23:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.78%EV -10.84%E -3.80%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -15.26%E -6.50%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-06 23:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.89% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.94% | 0.2% | 2026-05-06 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.71% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.77% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.71% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.77% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 23:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.71% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.77% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 23:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.71% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.62% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.67% | 1.7% | 2026-05-06 23:45 |