La scuola delle quote

Barracas Central v Olimpia Asunción

Inizio: 2026-05-07 00:00 UTC

Finale: Barracas Central 1–2 Olimpia Asunción

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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26 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Barracas Central (Casa)

Previsione 31.29%3.20quota equa
EV -4.58%
Vantaggio -1.50%
Kelly -2.23%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.78%31.40%31.22%33.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.892.883.0536.36%34.62%34.72%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Olimpia Asunción (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.06%2.77quota equa
EV +0.961%
Vantaggio +0.343%
Kelly +0.534%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.28%35.95%36.06%37.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.612.612.8042.55%38.29%38.31%35.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 32.66%3.06quota equa
EV -0.395%
Vantaggio -0.129%
Kelly -0.192%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.71%32.65%32.72%33.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.852.853.0538.02%35.11%35.09%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 33.10%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV +0.961%E +0.343%K +0.534%G +0.005%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.02%EV -0.395%E -0.129%K -0.192%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 23:35
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -2.64%E -0.980%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -3.66%E -1.24%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:55
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -2.64%E -0.980%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -3.66%E -1.24%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:55
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -2.64%E -0.980%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -3.66%E -1.24%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:55
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -2.64%E -0.980%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -3.66%E -1.24%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:55
Pinnacle3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -4.58%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.06%EV -4.81%E -1.82%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.72%EV -4.97%E -1.71%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 23:45
Coolbet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.94%EV -6.77%E -2.27%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.33%EV -5.53%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 16:35
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -5.53%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 23:40
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -5.53%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 23:40
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -5.53%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 23:40
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -5.53%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 23:40
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.72%EV -5.53%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-06 23:40
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 31.66%EV -10.21%E -3.56%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.68%EV -5.53%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-06 23:40
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 23:55
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -4.58%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.38%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.29%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 23:40
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 23:30
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -13.97%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-06 23:55
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -13.97%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-06 23:55
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -13.97%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-06 23:55
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -13.97%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-06 23:54
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.28%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -14.11%E -5.37%K -8.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-06 23:40
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -8.65%E -2.96%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -6.97%E -2.70%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -5.95%E -2.06%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 23:45
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.86%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -5.95%E -2.06%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-06 23:01
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.86%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-06 23:20
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.78%EV -10.84%E -3.80%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -15.26%E -6.50%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-06 23:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.89%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.94%0.2%2026-05-06 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.71%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.77%0.7%2026-05-06 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.71%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.77%0.7%2026-05-06 23:46
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.71%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.77%0.7%2026-05-06 23:45
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.71%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.62%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.67%1.7%2026-05-06 23:45