La scuola delle quote

América de Cali v Alianza Atlético

Inizio: 2026-04-16 02:00 UTC

Finale: América de Cali 2–1 Alianza Atlético

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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25 bookmaker (4 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

América de Cali (Casa)

Previsione 63.58%1.57quota equa
EV -2.09%
Vantaggio -1.36%
Kelly -3.88%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.62%63.46%63.58%68.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.341.431.431.5474.63%70.15%69.93%64.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alianza Atlético (Trasferta)

Previsione 12.63%7.92quota equa
EV +7.36%
Vantaggio +0.865%
Kelly +0.981%
Crescita +0.072%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.21%12.63%12.63%15.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.907.367.008.5016.95%13.58%14.29%11.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.79%4.20quota equa
EV +11.84%
Vantaggio +2.52%
Kelly +3.20%
Crescita +0.379%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.66%23.90%23.79%24.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.704.144.004.7027.03%24.18%25.00%21.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (25 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.91%EV -9.09%E -6.35%K -21.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.43%EV +7.36%E +0.865%K +0.981%G +0.072%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.66%EV +11.84%E +2.52%K +3.20%G +0.379%3.0%2026-04-16 01:54
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.07%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV +7.36%E +0.865%K +0.981%G +0.072%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV +9.46%E +2.06%K +2.63%G +0.248%4.9%2026-04-16 01:54
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.07%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV +7.36%E +0.865%K +0.981%G +0.072%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV +9.46%E +2.06%K +2.63%G +0.248%4.9%2026-04-16 01:54
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 68.07%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV +7.36%E +0.865%K +0.981%G +0.072%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV +9.46%E +2.06%K +2.63%G +0.248%4.9%2026-04-16 01:54
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.07%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV +7.36%E +0.865%K +0.981%G +0.072%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV +9.46%E +2.06%K +2.63%G +0.248%4.9%2026-04-16 01:55
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 63.01%EV -2.09%E -1.36%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.41I 15.60%NM 15.14%EV -19.04%E -2.97%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.85%EV +5.65%E +1.27%K +1.64%G +0.093%3.1%2026-04-16 01:49
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.77%EV -14.17%E -10.50%K -40.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV +1.04%E +0.130%K +0.149%G +0.002%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV +4.70%E +1.07%K +1.38%G +0.065%9.3%2026-04-16 01:54
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 67.93%EV -14.81%E -11.05%K -43.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +1.04%E +0.130%K +0.149%G +0.002%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV +4.70%E +1.07%K +1.38%G +0.065%9.9%2026-04-16 01:52
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.93%EV -14.81%E -11.05%K -43.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +1.04%E +0.130%K +0.149%G +0.002%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV +4.70%E +1.07%K +1.38%G +0.065%9.9%2026-04-16 01:53
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.93%EV -14.81%E -11.05%K -43.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +1.04%E +0.130%K +0.149%G +0.002%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV +4.70%E +1.07%K +1.38%G +0.065%9.9%2026-04-16 01:54
Bovada1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -5.27%E -3.54%K -10.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -17.90%E -2.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -2.44%E -0.595%K -0.787%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 01:50
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -5.91%E -3.99%K -12.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV +1.04%E +0.130%K +0.149%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -4.82%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 01:44
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -11.59%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.82%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 01:44
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -24.22%E -4.04%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -4.82%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-15 23:04
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.59%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-16 01:45
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.59%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-16 01:49
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.59%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-16 01:49
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.59%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-16 01:50
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.59%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-16 01:49
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 62.63%EV -11.63%E -8.37%K -29.82%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.76%EV -25.48%E -4.32%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.61%EV -8.39%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-16 01:34
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 63.12%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.27%G +0.000%7.83I 12.77%NM 12.09%EV -1.11%E -0.141%K -0.162%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.79%EV -9.10%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 01:54
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -11.59%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-16 01:45
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -17.90%E -2.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-16 01:44
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 62.94%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -17.90%E -2.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-16 01:44
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.62%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.40%EV -12.85%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -11.96%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 01:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.05%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-04-16 01:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.05%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-04-16 01:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.05%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-04-16 01:44
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.05%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-04-16 01:44
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.39%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.15%2.9%2026-04-16 01:55