L’École des cotesFrançais
América de Cali v Alianza Atlético
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
América de Cali (Local)
Prévision 63.58%1.57cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -3.88%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.54
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.62%63.46%63.58%68.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.341.431.431.5474.63%70.15%69.93%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Alianza Atlético (Visiteur)
Prévision 12.63%7.92cote équitable
EV +7.36%
Avantage +0.865%
Kelly +0.981%
Croissance +0.072%
avec la cote maximale 8.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.21%12.63%12.63%15.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.907.367.008.5016.95%13.58%14.29%11.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.79%4.20cote équitable
EV +11.84%
Avantage +2.52%
Kelly +3.20%
Croissance +0.379%
avec la cote maximale 4.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.66%23.90%23.79%24.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.144.004.7027.03%24.18%25.00%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (25 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.91%EV -9.09%E -6.35%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.43%EV +7.36%E +0.865%K +0.981%G +0.072% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.66%EV +11.84%E +2.52%K +3.20%G +0.379% | 3.0% | 2026-04-16 01:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.07%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV +7.36%E +0.865%K +0.981%G +0.072% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV +9.46%E +2.06%K +2.63%G +0.248% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 01:54 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.07%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV +7.36%E +0.865%K +0.981%G +0.072% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV +9.46%E +2.06%K +2.63%G +0.248% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 01:54 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.07%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV +7.36%E +0.865%K +0.981%G +0.072% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV +9.46%E +2.06%K +2.63%G +0.248% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 01:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.07%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV +7.36%E +0.865%K +0.981%G +0.072% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV +9.46%E +2.06%K +2.63%G +0.248% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 01:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.01%EV -2.09%E -1.36%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.41I 15.60%NM 15.14%EV -19.04%E -2.97%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.85%EV +5.65%E +1.27%K +1.64%G +0.093% | 3.1% | 2026-04-16 01:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.77%EV -14.17%E -10.50%K -40.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV +1.04%E +0.130%K +0.149%G +0.002% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV +4.70%E +1.07%K +1.38%G +0.065% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 01:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.93%EV -14.81%E -11.05%K -43.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +1.04%E +0.130%K +0.149%G +0.002% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV +4.70%E +1.07%K +1.38%G +0.065% | 9.9% | 2026-04-16 01:52 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.93%EV -14.81%E -11.05%K -43.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +1.04%E +0.130%K +0.149%G +0.002% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV +4.70%E +1.07%K +1.38%G +0.065% | 9.9% | 2026-04-16 01:53 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.93%EV -14.81%E -11.05%K -43.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +1.04%E +0.130%K +0.149%G +0.002% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV +4.70%E +1.07%K +1.38%G +0.065% | 9.9% | 2026-04-16 01:54 |
| Bovada | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -5.27%E -3.54%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -17.90%E -2.75%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -2.44%E -0.595%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 01:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -5.91%E -3.99%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV +1.04%E +0.130%K +0.149%G +0.002% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -4.82%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 01:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -11.59%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.82%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 01:44 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -24.22%E -4.04%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -4.82%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.59%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-16 01:45 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.59%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-16 01:49 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.59%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-16 01:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.59%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-16 01:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.59%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-16 01:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 62.63%EV -11.63%E -8.37%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.76%EV -25.48%E -4.32%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.61%EV -8.39%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-16 01:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.12%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 7.83I 12.77%NM 12.09%EV -1.11%E -0.141%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.79%EV -9.10%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 01:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -11.59%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-16 01:45 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -17.90%E -2.75%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-16 01:44 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.94%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -17.90%E -2.75%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-16 01:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.62%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.40%EV -12.85%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -11.96%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 01:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.2% | 2026-04-16 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.2% | 2026-04-16 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.2% | 2026-04-16 01:44 |
| Matchbook | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.2% | 2026-04-16 01:44 |
| Smarkets | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.39% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.15% | 2.9% | 2026-04-16 01:55 |