La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
América de Cali v Alianza Atlético
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
América de Cali (Local)
Predicción 63.58%1.57momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -3.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.62%63.46%63.58%68.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.341.431.431.5474.63%70.15%69.93%64.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alianza Atlético (Visitante)
Predicción 12.63%7.92momio equitativo
EV +7.36%
Ventaja +0.865%
Kelly +0.981%
Crecimiento +0.072%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.21%12.63%12.63%15.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.907.367.008.5016.95%13.58%14.29%11.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.79%4.20momio equitativo
EV +11.84%
Ventaja +2.52%
Kelly +3.20%
Crecimiento +0.379%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.66%23.90%23.79%24.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.144.004.7027.03%24.18%25.00%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (25 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.91%EV -9.09%E -6.35%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.43%EV +7.36%E +0.865%K +0.981%G +0.072% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.66%EV +11.84%E +2.52%K +3.20%G +0.379% | 3.0% | 2026-04-16 01:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.07%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV +7.36%E +0.865%K +0.981%G +0.072% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV +9.46%E +2.06%K +2.63%G +0.248% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 01:54 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.07%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV +7.36%E +0.865%K +0.981%G +0.072% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV +9.46%E +2.06%K +2.63%G +0.248% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 01:54 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.07%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV +7.36%E +0.865%K +0.981%G +0.072% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV +9.46%E +2.06%K +2.63%G +0.248% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 01:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.07%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV +7.36%E +0.865%K +0.981%G +0.072% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV +9.46%E +2.06%K +2.63%G +0.248% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 01:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.01%EV -2.09%E -1.36%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.41I 15.60%NM 15.14%EV -19.04%E -2.97%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.85%EV +5.65%E +1.27%K +1.64%G +0.093% | 3.1% | 2026-04-16 01:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.77%EV -14.17%E -10.50%K -40.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV +1.04%E +0.130%K +0.149%G +0.002% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV +4.70%E +1.07%K +1.38%G +0.065% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 01:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.93%EV -14.81%E -11.05%K -43.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +1.04%E +0.130%K +0.149%G +0.002% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV +4.70%E +1.07%K +1.38%G +0.065% | 9.9% | 2026-04-16 01:52 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.93%EV -14.81%E -11.05%K -43.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +1.04%E +0.130%K +0.149%G +0.002% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV +4.70%E +1.07%K +1.38%G +0.065% | 9.9% | 2026-04-16 01:53 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.93%EV -14.81%E -11.05%K -43.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +1.04%E +0.130%K +0.149%G +0.002% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV +4.70%E +1.07%K +1.38%G +0.065% | 9.9% | 2026-04-16 01:54 |
| Bovada | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -5.27%E -3.54%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -17.90%E -2.75%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -2.44%E -0.595%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 01:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -5.91%E -3.99%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV +1.04%E +0.130%K +0.149%G +0.002% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -4.82%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 01:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -11.59%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.82%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 01:44 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -24.22%E -4.04%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -4.82%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.59%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-16 01:45 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.59%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-16 01:49 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.59%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-16 01:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.59%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-16 01:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.59%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-16 01:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 62.63%EV -11.63%E -8.37%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.76%EV -25.48%E -4.32%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.61%EV -8.39%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-16 01:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.12%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 7.83I 12.77%NM 12.09%EV -1.11%E -0.141%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.79%EV -9.10%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 01:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -11.59%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-16 01:45 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -17.90%E -2.75%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-16 01:44 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.94%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -17.90%E -2.75%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-16 01:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.62%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.40%EV -12.85%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -11.96%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 01:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.2% | 2026-04-16 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.2% | 2026-04-16 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.2% | 2026-04-16 01:44 |
| Matchbook | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.2% | 2026-04-16 01:44 |
| Smarkets | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.39% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.15% | 2.9% | 2026-04-16 01:55 |