The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Universidad Católica (CHI) v Cruzeiro

Kickoff: 2026-05-07 02:00 UTC

Final: Universidad Católica (CHI) 0–0 Cruzeiro

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local)

Prediction 32.24%3.10fair odd
EV -0.048%
Edge -0.016%
Kelly -0.023%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.23%32.26%32.26%34.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.882.903.1037.04%34.74%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cruzeiro (Visit)

Prediction 37.18%2.69fair odd
EV +0.021%
Edge +0.008%
Kelly +0.012%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.34%37.17%37.18%38.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.492.502.6942.55%40.16%40.00%37.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.58%3.27fair odd
EV -0.631%
Edge -0.194%
Kelly -0.280%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.65%30.57%30.56%31.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.043.023.2534.72%32.89%33.06%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local): 32.24%; Cruzeiro (Visit): 37.18%; Draw: 30.58%. For Cruzeiro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.689. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.690, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.021%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.19%EV -10.37%E -3.73%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.34%EV +0.021%E +0.008%K +0.012%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.47%EV -4.61%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 01:55
Pinnacle🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 32.45%EV -4.24%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.65%EV -2.21%E -0.840%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.89%EV -4.61%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 01:55
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.94%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.33%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.32%EV -3.69%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 01:49
GTbets🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.67%EV -4.88%E -1.66%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.21%EV -3.70%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.12%EV -2.16%E -0.675%K -0.982%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 01:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.55%EV -0.048%E -0.016%K -0.023%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.36%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.09%EV -0.631%E -0.194%K -0.280%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-07 01:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.55%EV -0.048%E -0.016%K -0.023%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.36%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.09%EV -0.631%E -0.194%K -0.280%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-07 01:50
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.80%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 11:14
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.92%EV -5.83%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 01:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.92%EV -5.83%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 01:45
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 01:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 01:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 01:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.03%EV -6.17%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.69%EV -5.56%E -2.19%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -8.89%E -2.98%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 01:44
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.86%EV -5.85%E -2.00%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -8.89%E -2.98%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 01:45
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.86%EV -5.85%E -2.00%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -8.89%E -2.98%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 01:50
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 01:45
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 01:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -6.75%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 01:45
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 01:45
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 01:45
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 01:45
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-07 01:45
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-07 01:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-07 01:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-07 01:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -7.79%E -3.14%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-07 01:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.69%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 01:49
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.69%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 01:01
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.69%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 01:48
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.69%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 01:50
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.69%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 01:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-07 01:45
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -11.94%E -4.15%K -6.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-07 01:45
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.95%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-07 01:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.95%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-07 01:45
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.95%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-07 01:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.95%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-07 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -9.65%E -3.97%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 01:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 32.13%EV -8.75%E -3.09%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.57%EV -10.02%E -4.14%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-07 01:48
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.95%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.76%E -4.48%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-07 01:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -12.62%E -5.37%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-07 01:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -12.62%E -5.37%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-07 01:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -12.62%E -5.37%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-07 01:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.52%EV -12.62%E -5.37%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-07 01:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.44%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-05-07 01:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.44%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-05-07 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.44%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-05-07 01:50
Smarkets◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.33%1.3%2026-05-07 01:45