La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Universidad Católica (CHI) v Cruzeiro
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local)
Predicción 32.24%3.10momio equitativo
EV -0.048%
Ventaja -0.016%
Kelly -0.023%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.23%32.26%32.26%34.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.882.903.1037.04%34.74%34.48%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cruzeiro (Visitante)
Predicción 37.18%2.69momio equitativo
EV +0.021%
Ventaja +0.008%
Kelly +0.012%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.34%37.17%37.18%38.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.492.502.6942.55%40.16%40.00%37.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.58%3.27momio equitativo
EV -0.631%
Ventaja -0.194%
Kelly -0.280%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.65%30.57%30.56%31.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.043.023.2534.72%32.89%33.06%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.19%EV -10.37%E -3.73%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.34%EV +0.021%E +0.008%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.47%EV -4.61%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 01:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.45%EV -4.24%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.65%EV -2.21%E -0.840%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.89%EV -4.61%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-07 01:55 |
| Bovada | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.94%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.33%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.32%EV -3.69%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 01:49 |
| GTbets | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.67%EV -4.88%E -1.66%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.21%EV -3.70%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.12%EV -2.16%E -0.675%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-07 01:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.55%EV -0.048%E -0.016%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.36%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.09%EV -0.631%E -0.194%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-07 01:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.55%EV -0.048%E -0.016%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.36%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.09%EV -0.631%E -0.194%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-07 01:50 |
| Coolbet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.80%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 11:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.92%EV -5.83%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.92%EV -5.83%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 01:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 01:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.03%EV -6.17%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.69%EV -5.56%E -2.19%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -8.89%E -2.98%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 01:44 |
| Betsson | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.86%EV -5.85%E -2.00%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -8.89%E -2.98%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.86%EV -5.85%E -2.00%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -8.89%E -2.98%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 01:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| Betway | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -6.75%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| 888sport | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| William Hill | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-07 01:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -7.79%E -3.14%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.69%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 01:49 |
| BetRivers | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.69%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 01:01 |
| Grosvenor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.69%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 01:48 |
| Unibet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.69%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 01:50 |
| Casumo | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.69%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 01:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -11.94%E -4.15%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| Coral | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.95%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.95%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| Neds | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.95%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.95%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -9.65%E -3.97%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 01:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.13%EV -8.75%E -3.09%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.57%EV -10.02%E -4.14%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-07 01:48 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.95%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.76%E -4.48%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -12.62%E -5.37%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-07 01:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -12.62%E -5.37%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-07 01:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -12.62%E -5.37%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-07 01:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.52%EV -12.62%E -5.37%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.44% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-05-07 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.44% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-05-07 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.44% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-05-07 01:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.33% | 1.3% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |