L’École des cotes

Universidad Católica (CHI) v Cruzeiro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-07 02:00 UTC

Score final : Universidad Católica (CHI) 0–0 Cruzeiro

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local)

Prévision 32.24%3.10cote équitable
EV -0.048%
Avantage -0.016%
Kelly -0.023%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.23%32.26%32.26%34.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.882.903.1037.04%34.74%34.48%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cruzeiro (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.18%2.69cote équitable
EV +0.021%
Avantage +0.008%
Kelly +0.012%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.34%37.17%37.18%38.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.492.502.6942.55%40.16%40.00%37.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.58%3.27cote équitable
EV -0.631%
Avantage -0.194%
Kelly -0.280%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.65%30.57%30.56%31.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.043.023.2534.72%32.89%33.06%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.19%EV -10.37%E -3.73%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.34%EV +0.021%E +0.008%K +0.012%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.47%EV -4.61%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 01:55
Pinnacle2.97I 33.67%NM 32.45%EV -4.24%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.65%EV -2.21%E -0.840%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.89%EV -4.61%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 01:55
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 32.94%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.33%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.32%EV -3.69%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 01:49
GTbets2.95I 33.90%NM 32.67%EV -4.88%E -1.66%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.21%EV -3.70%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.12%EV -2.16%E -0.675%K -0.982%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 01:55
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.55%EV -0.048%E -0.016%K -0.023%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.36%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.09%EV -0.631%E -0.194%K -0.280%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-07 01:50
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 31.55%EV -0.048%E -0.016%K -0.023%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.36%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.09%EV -0.631%E -0.194%K -0.280%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-07 01:50
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.80%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 11:14
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.92%EV -5.83%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 01:45
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.92%EV -5.83%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 01:45
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 01:45
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 01:50
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -5.18%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 01:50
Marathon Bet2.91I 34.36%NM 32.03%EV -6.17%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.69%EV -5.56%E -2.19%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -8.89%E -2.98%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 01:44
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.86%EV -5.85%E -2.00%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -8.89%E -2.98%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 01:45
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.86%EV -5.85%E -2.00%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -6.30%E -2.50%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -8.89%E -2.98%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 01:50
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 01:45
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 01:45
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -6.75%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 01:45
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 01:45
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 01:45
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 01:45
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-07 01:45
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-07 01:50
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-07 01:45
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.04%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-07 01:45
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -8.11%E -2.85%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -7.79%E -3.14%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-07 01:45
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.69%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 01:49
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.69%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 01:01
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.69%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 01:48
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.69%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 01:50
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.69%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 01:49
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-07 01:45
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -11.94%E -4.15%K -6.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-07 01:45
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.95%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-07 01:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.95%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-07 01:45
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.95%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-07 01:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.95%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.90%E -3.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-07 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -9.65%E -3.97%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 01:50
Betclic (FR)2.83I 35.34%NM 32.13%EV -8.75%E -3.09%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.57%EV -10.02%E -4.14%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-07 01:48
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.95%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.76%E -4.48%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-07 01:45
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -12.62%E -5.37%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-07 01:49
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -12.62%E -5.37%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-07 01:50
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -12.62%E -5.37%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-07 01:50
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.52%EV -12.62%E -5.37%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-07 01:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.44%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-05-07 01:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.44%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-05-07 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.44%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-05-07 01:50
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.33%1.3%2026-05-07 01:45