Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Universidad Católica (CHI) v Barcelona SC

Kickoff: 2026-05-22 00:30 UTC

Final: Universidad Católica (CHI) 2–0 Barcelona SC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local)

Prediction 53.57%1.87fair odd
EV -0.903%
Edge -0.488%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.72%53.55%53.39%55.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.731.711.8561.35%57.96%58.48%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Barcelona SC (Visit)

Prediction 19.51%5.13fair odd
EV +2.43%
Edge +0.462%
Kelly +0.571%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.33%19.51%19.65%20.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.824.855.2522.73%20.74%20.62%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.92%3.71fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.473%
Kelly -0.652%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.06%26.95%26.95%28.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.443.453.6530.77%29.11%28.99%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local): 53.57%; Barcelona SC (Visit): 19.51%; Draw: 26.92%. For Barcelona SC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.13. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.74%EV -4.65%E -2.61%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.56%EV +2.43%E +0.462%K +0.571%G +0.014%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%EV -1.73%E -0.473%K -0.652%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-22 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.74%EV -4.65%E -2.61%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.56%EV +2.43%E +0.462%K +0.571%G +0.014%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%EV -1.73%E -0.473%K -0.652%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-22 00:20
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -8.40%E -4.91%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -0.500%E -0.098%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -4.42%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 00:20
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -8.40%E -4.91%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -0.500%E -0.098%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -4.42%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 00:20
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -8.40%E -4.91%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -0.500%E -0.098%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -4.42%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -8.40%E -4.91%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -0.500%E -0.098%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -4.42%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 00:20
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.14%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 18.87%EV -2.06%E -0.410%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.99%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 00:20
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -5.19%E -2.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -2.45%E -0.490%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 00:19
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -7.33%E -4.24%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.45%E -0.490%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -3.07%E -0.854%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 23:40
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -2.45%E -0.490%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -3.07%E -0.854%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-22 00:20
Everygame🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.13%EV -7.33%E -4.24%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -2.45%E -0.490%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 00:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.54%EV -8.40%E -4.91%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -2.45%E -0.490%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -6.30%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -2.45%E -0.490%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 00:20
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -7.87%E -4.57%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -2.45%E -0.490%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-22 00:20
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -2.45%E -0.490%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 00:20
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.05%E -1.68%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.42%EV -3.43%E -0.692%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.47%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-22 00:10
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -3.43%E -0.692%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -4.42%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 00:20
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -3.43%E -0.692%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -4.42%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -11.08%E -6.67%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -4.40%E -0.898%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-22 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -11.08%E -6.67%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -4.40%E -0.898%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-22 00:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -11.08%E -6.67%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -4.40%E -0.898%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-22 00:20
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.75%EV -7.87%E -4.57%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.06%EV -5.38%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 00:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -3.58%E -1.99%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -6.35%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -3.58%E -1.99%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -6.35%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 00:00
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -7.33%E -4.24%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -6.35%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-22 00:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -7.33%E -4.24%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -6.35%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-22 00:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -7.33%E -4.24%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -6.35%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-22 00:20
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.72%EV -0.903%E -0.488%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.14%EV -7.33%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-22 00:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -5.19%E -2.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.33%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 00:20
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -10.54%E -6.31%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -7.33%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-22 00:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.57%EV -4.65%E -2.61%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -8.30%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 00:20
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.62%EV -7.33%E -4.24%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.25%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-22 00:20
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.74%EV -5.72%E -3.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.36%EV -11.04%E -2.42%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 00:00
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.46%EV -5.19%E -2.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.21%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 00:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.21%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-22 00:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -12.21%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-22 00:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.19%EV -9.47%E -5.61%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.98%EV -12.21%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.83%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-22 00:20
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.21%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-22 00:20
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.21%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-22 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.21%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-22 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.21%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-22 00:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.17%EV -12.69%E -7.78%K -20.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.62%EV -12.21%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.20%EV -9.27%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-22 00:18
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.31%EV -10.01%E -5.96%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.35%EV -14.16%E -3.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-22 00:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.18%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99%0.1%2026-05-22 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.24%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-05-22 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.24%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-05-22 00:20
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.20%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.17%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63%1.9%2026-05-22 00:20