La escuela de los momios

Universidad Católica (CHI) v Barcelona SC

Inicio: 2026-05-22 00:30 UTC

Final: Universidad Católica (CHI) 2–0 Barcelona SC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local)

Predicción 53.57%1.87momio equitativo
EV -0.903%
Ventaja -0.488%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.72%53.55%53.39%55.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.631.731.711.8561.35%57.96%58.48%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Barcelona SC (Visitante)

Predicción 19.51%5.13momio equitativo
EV +2.43%
Ventaja +0.462%
Kelly +0.571%
Crecimiento +0.014%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.33%19.51%19.65%20.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.824.855.2522.73%20.74%20.62%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.92%3.71momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -0.473%
Kelly -0.652%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.06%26.95%26.95%28.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.443.453.6530.77%29.11%28.99%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.74%EV -4.65%E -2.61%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.56%EV +2.43%E +0.462%K +0.571%G +0.014%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%EV -1.73%E -0.473%K -0.652%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-22 00:20
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.74%EV -4.65%E -2.61%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.56%EV +2.43%E +0.462%K +0.571%G +0.014%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%EV -1.73%E -0.473%K -0.652%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-22 00:20
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -8.40%E -4.91%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -0.500%E -0.098%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -4.42%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 00:20
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -8.40%E -4.91%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -0.500%E -0.098%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -4.42%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 00:20
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -8.40%E -4.91%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -0.500%E -0.098%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -4.42%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 00:20
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -8.40%E -4.91%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -0.500%E -0.098%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -4.42%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 00:20
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.14%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 18.87%EV -2.06%E -0.410%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.99%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 00:20
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -5.19%E -2.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -2.45%E -0.490%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 00:19
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -7.33%E -4.24%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.45%E -0.490%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -3.07%E -0.854%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 23:40
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -2.45%E -0.490%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -3.07%E -0.854%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-22 00:20
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 54.13%EV -7.33%E -4.24%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -2.45%E -0.490%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 00:19
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.54%EV -8.40%E -4.91%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -2.45%E -0.490%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -6.30%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -2.45%E -0.490%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 00:20
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -7.87%E -4.57%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -2.45%E -0.490%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-22 00:20
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -2.45%E -0.490%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 00:20
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.05%E -1.68%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.42%EV -3.43%E -0.692%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.47%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-22 00:10
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -3.43%E -0.692%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -4.42%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 00:20
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -3.43%E -0.692%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -4.42%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 00:20
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -11.08%E -6.67%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -4.40%E -0.898%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-22 00:20
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -11.08%E -6.67%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -4.40%E -0.898%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-22 00:20
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -11.08%E -6.67%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -4.40%E -0.898%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-22 00:20
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.75%EV -7.87%E -4.57%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.06%EV -5.38%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 00:20
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -3.58%E -1.99%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -6.35%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 00:00
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -3.58%E -1.99%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -6.35%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 00:00
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -7.33%E -4.24%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -6.35%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-22 00:20
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -7.33%E -4.24%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -6.35%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-22 00:20
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -7.33%E -4.24%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -6.35%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-22 00:20
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.72%EV -0.903%E -0.488%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.14%EV -7.33%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-22 00:09
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -5.19%E -2.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.33%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 00:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -10.54%E -6.31%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -7.33%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-22 00:20
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.57%EV -4.65%E -2.61%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -8.30%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 00:20
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.62%EV -7.33%E -4.24%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.25%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-22 00:20
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 52.74%EV -5.72%E -3.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.36%EV -11.04%E -2.42%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 00:00
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.46%EV -5.19%E -2.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.21%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 00:20
Codere (IT)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.21%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-22 00:20
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -12.21%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-22 00:20
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 53.19%EV -9.47%E -5.61%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.98%EV -12.21%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.83%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-22 00:20
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.21%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-22 00:20
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.21%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-22 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.21%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-22 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.21%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-22 00:20
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 54.17%EV -12.69%E -7.78%K -20.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.62%EV -12.21%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.20%EV -9.27%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-22 00:18
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.31%EV -10.01%E -5.96%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.35%EV -14.16%E -3.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-22 00:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.18%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99%0.1%2026-05-22 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.24%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-05-22 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.24%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-05-22 00:20
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.20%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.17%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63%1.9%2026-05-22 00:20