L’École des cotes

Universidad Católica (CHI) v Barcelona SC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-22 00:30 UTC

Score final : Universidad Católica (CHI) 2–0 Barcelona SC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local)

Prévision 53.57%1.87cote équitable
EV -0.903%
Avantage -0.488%
Kelly -1.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.72%53.55%53.39%55.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.631.731.711.8561.35%57.96%58.48%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Barcelona SC (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.51%5.13cote équitable
EV +2.43%
Avantage +0.462%
Kelly +0.571%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.33%19.51%19.65%20.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.824.855.2522.73%20.74%20.62%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.92%3.71cote équitable
EV -1.73%
Avantage -0.473%
Kelly -0.652%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.06%26.95%26.95%28.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.443.453.6530.77%29.11%28.99%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.74%EV -4.65%E -2.61%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.56%EV +2.43%E +0.462%K +0.571%G +0.014%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%EV -1.73%E -0.473%K -0.652%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-22 00:20
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.74%EV -4.65%E -2.61%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.56%EV +2.43%E +0.462%K +0.571%G +0.014%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%EV -1.73%E -0.473%K -0.652%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-22 00:20
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -8.40%E -4.91%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -0.500%E -0.098%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -4.42%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 00:20
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -8.40%E -4.91%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -0.500%E -0.098%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -4.42%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 00:20
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -8.40%E -4.91%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -0.500%E -0.098%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -4.42%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 00:20
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -8.40%E -4.91%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -0.500%E -0.098%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -4.42%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 00:20
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.14%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 18.87%EV -2.06%E -0.410%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.99%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 00:20
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -5.19%E -2.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -2.45%E -0.490%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 00:19
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -7.33%E -4.24%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.45%E -0.490%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -3.07%E -0.854%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 23:40
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -2.45%E -0.490%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -3.07%E -0.854%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-22 00:20
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 54.13%EV -7.33%E -4.24%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -2.45%E -0.490%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 00:19
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.54%EV -8.40%E -4.91%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -2.45%E -0.490%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -6.30%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -2.45%E -0.490%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 00:20
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -7.87%E -4.57%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -2.45%E -0.490%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-22 00:20
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -2.45%E -0.490%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 00:20
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.05%E -1.68%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.42%EV -3.43%E -0.692%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.47%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-22 00:10
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -3.43%E -0.692%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -4.42%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 00:20
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -3.43%E -0.692%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -4.42%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 00:20
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -11.08%E -6.67%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -4.40%E -0.898%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-22 00:20
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -11.08%E -6.67%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -4.40%E -0.898%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-22 00:20
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -11.08%E -6.67%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -4.40%E -0.898%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-22 00:20
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.75%EV -7.87%E -4.57%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.06%EV -5.38%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 00:20
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -3.58%E -1.99%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -6.35%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 00:00
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -3.58%E -1.99%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -6.35%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 00:00
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -7.33%E -4.24%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -6.35%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-22 00:20
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -7.33%E -4.24%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -6.35%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-22 00:20
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -7.33%E -4.24%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -6.35%E -1.32%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-22 00:20
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.72%EV -0.903%E -0.488%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.14%EV -7.33%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-22 00:09
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -5.19%E -2.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.33%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 00:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -10.54%E -6.31%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -7.33%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-22 00:20
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.57%EV -4.65%E -2.61%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -8.30%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 00:20
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.62%EV -7.33%E -4.24%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.25%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-22 00:20
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 52.74%EV -5.72%E -3.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.36%EV -11.04%E -2.42%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 00:00
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.46%EV -5.19%E -2.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.21%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 00:20
Codere (IT)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.21%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-22 00:20
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -12.21%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-22 00:20
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 53.19%EV -9.47%E -5.61%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.98%EV -12.21%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.83%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-22 00:20
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.21%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-22 00:20
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.21%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-22 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.21%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-22 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.21%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-22 00:20
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 54.17%EV -12.69%E -7.78%K -20.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.62%EV -12.21%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.20%EV -9.27%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-22 00:18
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.31%EV -10.01%E -5.96%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.35%EV -14.16%E -3.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-22 00:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.18%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99%0.1%2026-05-22 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.24%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-05-22 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.24%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-05-22 00:20
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.20%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.17%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63%1.9%2026-05-22 00:20