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O'Higgins v Deportes Tolima
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
O'Higgins (Local)
Prediction 36.86%2.71fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -0.879%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.51%36.87%36.73%38.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.522.502.6542.55%39.74%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Deportes Tolima (Visit)
Prediction 32.39%3.09fair odd
EV +0.406%
Edge +0.131%
Kelly +0.193%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.89%32.29%32.59%33.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.872.883.1038.17%34.83%34.72%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.75%3.25fair odd
EV -0.049%
Edge -0.015%
Kelly -0.022%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.82%30.83%30.68%32.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.003.003.2537.04%33.29%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: O'Higgins (Local): 36.86%; Deportes Tolima (Visit): 32.39%; Draw: 30.75%. For Deportes Tolima (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.406%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.70%E -3.96%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV +0.406%E +0.131%K +0.193%G +0.001% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.29%EV -11.74%E -4.09%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.86%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.04%EV -0.566%E -0.184%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.84%EV -4.97%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.96%EV -9.33%E -3.79%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.92%EV -2.19%E -0.724%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 00:13 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.17%E -1.60%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -2.83%E -0.944%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.86%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -2.83%E -0.944%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.70%E -3.96%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -2.83%E -0.944%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -11.54%E -4.81%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -2.83%E -0.944%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -12.35%E -4.33%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -11.54%E -4.81%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -2.83%E -0.944%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -13.89%E -4.96%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -8.59%E -3.47%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.23%EV -3.48%E -1.17%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.23%EV -8.35%E -2.80%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -8.59%E -3.47%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.23%EV -3.48%E -1.17%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.23%EV -8.35%E -2.80%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.51%EV -8.96%E -3.63%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.30%EV -4.13%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.19%EV -8.66%E -2.92%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -6.01%E -2.36%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -4.45%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -6.01%E -2.36%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -4.45%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.07%EV -3.43%E -1.31%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.04%EV -4.78%E -1.62%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89%EV -0.049%E -0.015%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.38%EV -3.43%E -1.31%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.75%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.38%EV -3.43%E -1.31%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.75%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 00:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.17%E -1.60%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 00:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.04%EV -2.33%E -0.879%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.16%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.04%EV -2.33%E -0.879%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.16%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 00:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -9.70%E -3.96%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -9.70%E -3.96%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -9.70%E -3.96%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -9.70%E -3.96%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -2.33%E -0.879%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -2.33%E -0.879%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -2.33%E -0.879%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 00:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -3.07%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.13%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -3.07%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.13%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 00:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.01%E -2.36%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.86%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.86%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.56%EV -4.91%E -1.90%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.21%EV -8.02%E -2.82%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.23%EV -4.05%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 00:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -4.17%E -1.60%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.86%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -6.01%E -2.36%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -9.28%E -3.14%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-05 00:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -6.01%E -2.36%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -9.28%E -3.14%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-05 00:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -9.70%E -3.96%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.56%EV -8.96%E -3.63%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.83%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.61%EV -9.28%E -3.14%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -11.54%E -4.81%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.40%EV -12.28%E -5.16%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.51%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.09%EV -16.96%E -6.28%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.03%EV -12.65%E -5.34%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.50%EV -12.55%E -4.65%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.47%EV -11.43%E -3.97%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-05 00:14 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.11%EV -13.39%E -5.70%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.30%EV -12.55%E -4.65%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.60%EV -12.35%E -4.33%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.78%EV -11.54%E -4.81%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.31%EV -14.17%E -5.35%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -9.28%E -3.14%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -7.86%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -15.14%E -5.78%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-05 00:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.52% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.74% | 3.3% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |