L’École des cotes

O'Higgins v Deportes Tolima

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-05 00:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

O'Higgins (Local)

Prévision 36.86%2.71cote équitable
EV -2.33%
Avantage -0.879%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.51%36.87%36.73%38.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.522.502.6542.55%39.74%40.00%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Deportes Tolima (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.39%3.09cote équitable
EV +0.406%
Avantage +0.131%
Kelly +0.193%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.89%32.29%32.59%33.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.622.872.883.1038.17%34.83%34.72%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.75%3.25cote équitable
EV -0.049%
Avantage -0.015%
Kelly -0.022%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.82%30.83%30.68%32.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.003.003.2537.04%33.29%33.33%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.70%E -3.96%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV +0.406%E +0.131%K +0.193%G +0.001%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.29%EV -11.74%E -4.09%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 00:25
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.86%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.04%EV -0.566%E -0.184%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.84%EV -4.97%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 00:15
Suprabets2.46I 40.65%NM 37.96%EV -9.33%E -3.79%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.92%EV -2.19%E -0.724%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 00:13
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.17%E -1.60%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -2.83%E -0.944%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 22:50
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.86%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -2.83%E -0.944%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 00:15
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.70%E -3.96%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -2.83%E -0.944%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 00:15
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -11.54%E -4.81%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -2.83%E -0.944%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -12.35%E -4.33%K -6.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-05 00:25
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -11.54%E -4.81%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -2.83%E -0.944%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -13.89%E -4.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-05 00:25
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -8.59%E -3.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.23%EV -3.48%E -1.17%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.23%EV -8.35%E -2.80%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 00:15
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -8.59%E -3.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.23%EV -3.48%E -1.17%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.23%EV -8.35%E -2.80%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 00:15
Marathon Bet2.47I 40.49%NM 37.51%EV -8.96%E -3.63%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.30%EV -4.13%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.19%EV -8.66%E -2.92%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 00:15
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -6.01%E -2.36%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -4.45%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 00:25
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -6.01%E -2.36%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -4.45%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 00:25
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 37.07%EV -3.43%E -1.31%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.04%EV -4.78%E -1.62%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89%EV -0.049%E -0.015%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-05 00:20
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.38%EV -3.43%E -1.31%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.75%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 00:05
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.38%EV -3.43%E -1.31%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.75%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 00:04
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.17%E -1.60%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 00:24
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.04%EV -2.33%E -0.879%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.16%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 00:05
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 36.04%EV -2.33%E -0.879%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.16%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 00:04
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -9.70%E -3.96%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 00:20
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -9.70%E -3.96%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 00:20
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -9.70%E -3.96%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 00:20
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -9.70%E -3.96%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 00:20
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -2.33%E -0.879%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 00:05
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -2.33%E -0.879%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 00:05
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -2.33%E -0.879%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 00:10
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -3.07%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.13%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 00:05
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -3.07%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.13%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 00:04
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.01%E -2.36%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 00:15
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.86%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 00:15
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.86%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 00:15
GTbets2.58I 38.76%NM 36.56%EV -4.91%E -1.90%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.21%EV -8.02%E -2.82%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.23%EV -4.05%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -4.17%E -1.60%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 00:05
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.86%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 00:15
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -6.01%E -2.36%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -9.28%E -3.14%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-05 00:04
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -6.01%E -2.36%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -9.28%E -3.14%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-05 00:04
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -9.70%E -3.96%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-05 00:15
Codere (IT)2.47I 40.49%NM 36.56%EV -8.96%E -3.63%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.83%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.61%EV -9.28%E -3.14%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-05 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -11.54%E -4.81%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-05 00:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.40%EV -12.28%E -5.16%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.51%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.09%EV -16.96%E -6.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-05 00:25
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.03%EV -12.65%E -5.34%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.50%EV -12.55%E -4.65%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.47%EV -11.43%E -3.97%K -6.08%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-05 00:14
Parions Sport (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.11%EV -13.39%E -5.70%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.30%EV -12.55%E -4.65%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.60%EV -12.35%E -4.33%K -6.68%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-05 00:15
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.78%EV -11.54%E -4.81%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.31%EV -14.17%E -5.35%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -9.28%E -3.14%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-05 00:15
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -7.86%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -15.14%E -5.78%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-05 00:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47%1.0%2026-03-05 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47%1.0%2026-03-05 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47%1.0%2026-03-05 00:15
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 37.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.74%3.3%2026-03-05 00:15