La escuela de los momios

O'Higgins v Deportes Tolima

Inicio: 2026-03-05 00:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

O'Higgins (Local)

Predicción 36.86%2.71momio equitativo
EV -2.33%
Ventaja -0.879%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.51%36.87%36.73%38.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.522.502.6542.55%39.74%40.00%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Deportes Tolima (Visitante)

Predicción 32.39%3.09momio equitativo
EV +0.406%
Ventaja +0.131%
Kelly +0.193%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.89%32.29%32.59%33.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.872.883.1038.17%34.83%34.72%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.75%3.25momio equitativo
EV -0.049%
Ventaja -0.015%
Kelly -0.022%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.82%30.83%30.68%32.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.003.003.2537.04%33.29%33.33%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.70%E -3.96%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV +0.406%E +0.131%K +0.193%G +0.001%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.29%EV -11.74%E -4.09%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 00:25
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.86%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.04%EV -0.566%E -0.184%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.84%EV -4.97%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 00:15
Suprabets2.46I 40.65%NM 37.96%EV -9.33%E -3.79%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.92%EV -2.19%E -0.724%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 00:13
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.17%E -1.60%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -2.83%E -0.944%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 22:50
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.86%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -2.83%E -0.944%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 00:15
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.70%E -3.96%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -2.83%E -0.944%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 00:15
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -11.54%E -4.81%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -2.83%E -0.944%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -12.35%E -4.33%K -6.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-05 00:25
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -11.54%E -4.81%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -2.83%E -0.944%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -13.89%E -4.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-05 00:25
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -8.59%E -3.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.23%EV -3.48%E -1.17%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.23%EV -8.35%E -2.80%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 00:15
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -8.59%E -3.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.23%EV -3.48%E -1.17%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.23%EV -8.35%E -2.80%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 00:15
Marathon Bet2.47I 40.49%NM 37.51%EV -8.96%E -3.63%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.30%EV -4.13%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.19%EV -8.66%E -2.92%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 00:15
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -6.01%E -2.36%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -4.45%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 00:25
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -6.01%E -2.36%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -4.45%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 00:25
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 37.07%EV -3.43%E -1.31%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.04%EV -4.78%E -1.62%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89%EV -0.049%E -0.015%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-05 00:20
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.38%EV -3.43%E -1.31%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.75%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 00:05
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.38%EV -3.43%E -1.31%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.75%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 00:04
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.17%E -1.60%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 00:24
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.04%EV -2.33%E -0.879%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.16%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 00:05
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 36.04%EV -2.33%E -0.879%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.16%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 00:04
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -9.70%E -3.96%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 00:20
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -9.70%E -3.96%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 00:20
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -9.70%E -3.96%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 00:20
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -9.70%E -3.96%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 00:20
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -2.33%E -0.879%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 00:05
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -2.33%E -0.879%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 00:05
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -2.33%E -0.879%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 00:10
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -3.07%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.13%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 00:05
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -3.07%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.13%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 00:04
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.01%E -2.36%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 00:15
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.86%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 00:15
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.86%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 00:15
GTbets2.58I 38.76%NM 36.56%EV -4.91%E -1.90%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.21%EV -8.02%E -2.82%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.23%EV -4.05%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -4.17%E -1.60%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 00:05
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.86%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 00:15
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -6.01%E -2.36%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -9.28%E -3.14%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-05 00:04
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -6.01%E -2.36%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -9.28%E -3.14%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-05 00:04
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -9.70%E -3.96%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-05 00:15
Codere (IT)2.47I 40.49%NM 36.56%EV -8.96%E -3.63%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.83%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.61%EV -9.28%E -3.14%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-05 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -11.54%E -4.81%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-05 00:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.40%EV -12.28%E -5.16%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.51%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.09%EV -16.96%E -6.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-05 00:25
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.03%EV -12.65%E -5.34%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.50%EV -12.55%E -4.65%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.47%EV -11.43%E -3.97%K -6.08%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-05 00:14
Parions Sport (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.11%EV -13.39%E -5.70%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.30%EV -12.55%E -4.65%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.60%EV -12.35%E -4.33%K -6.68%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-05 00:15
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.78%EV -11.54%E -4.81%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.31%EV -14.17%E -5.35%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -9.28%E -3.14%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-05 00:15
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -7.86%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -15.14%E -5.78%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-05 00:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47%1.0%2026-03-05 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47%1.0%2026-03-05 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47%1.0%2026-03-05 00:15
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 37.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.74%3.3%2026-03-05 00:15