Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.33
assuming max odds 11.50
assuming max odds 5.68
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mirassol (Local): 72.24%; Club Always Ready (Visit): 10.26%; Draw: 17.50%. For Club Always Ready (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.75. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.94%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.05%EV -4.64%E -3.52%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.50%EV +17.94%E +1.56%K +1.71%G +0.307% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.45%EV -1.97%E -0.352%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.05%EV -4.64%E -3.52%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.50%EV +17.94%E +1.56%K +1.71%G +0.307% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.45%EV -1.97%E -0.352%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -8.26%E -6.50%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +12.81%E +1.16%K +1.28%G +0.164% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -3.72%E -0.677%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -8.26%E -6.50%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +12.81%E +1.16%K +1.28%G +0.164% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -3.72%E -0.677%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -8.26%E -6.50%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +12.81%E +1.16%K +1.28%G +0.164% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -3.72%E -0.677%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -8.26%E -6.50%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +12.81%E +1.16%K +1.28%G +0.164% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -3.72%E -0.677%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -8.26%E -6.50%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +12.81%E +1.16%K +1.28%G +0.164% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -3.72%E -0.677%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -8.98%E -7.13%K -34.53%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +12.81%E +1.16%K +1.28%G +0.164% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -5.47%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -11.15%E -9.06%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.67%EV +7.68%E +0.732%K +0.809%G +0.062% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -8.10%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -11.15%E -9.06%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.67%EV +7.68%E +0.732%K +0.809%G +0.062% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -8.10%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -11.15%E -9.06%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.67%EV +7.68%E +0.732%K +0.809%G +0.062% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -8.10%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -6.09%E -4.68%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV +2.56%E +0.256%K +0.284%G +0.007% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -3.72%E -0.677%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.33%EV -5.37%E -4.10%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 9.85I 10.15%NM 9.75%EV +1.02%E +0.103%K +0.115%G +0.001% | 5.68I 17.61%NM 16.91%EV -0.573%E -0.101%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.36%EV -4.64%E -3.52%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.61%EV +0.505%E +0.052%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.03%EV -13.35%E -2.70%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.36%EV -4.64%E -3.52%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.61%EV +0.505%E +0.052%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.03%EV -13.35%E -2.70%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -6.09%E -4.68%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -2.57%E -0.271%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -8.10%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 16:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.90%EV -7.53%E -5.89%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV -2.57%E -0.271%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -7.53%E -5.89%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.92%EV -3.60%E -0.383%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -5.47%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 03:28 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.94%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.34%EV -5.14%E -0.555%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.72%EV -5.47%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-24 03:33 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.94%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.34%EV -5.14%E -0.555%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.72%EV -5.47%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -6.09%E -4.68%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 9.12I 10.96%NM 10.35%EV -6.47%E -0.709%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.06%EV -3.20%E -0.578%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 00:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.99%EV -6.81%E -5.28%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.35%EV -6.67%E -0.733%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.66%EV -1.10%E -0.194%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.99%EV -6.81%E -5.28%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.35%EV -6.67%E -0.733%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.66%EV -1.10%E -0.194%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.89%EV -6.81%E -5.28%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 9.06I 11.04%NM 10.38%EV -7.08%E -0.782%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.62I 17.79%NM 16.73%EV -1.62%E -0.289%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 10:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -6.09%E -4.68%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -7.70%E -0.855%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -8.10%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 15:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -6.09%E -4.68%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -7.70%E -0.855%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 22:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -6.09%E -4.68%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -7.70%E -0.855%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 22:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -6.09%E -4.68%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -7.70%E -0.855%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 22:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -6.09%E -4.68%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -7.70%E -0.855%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 22:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.81%E -5.28%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -7.70%E -0.855%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 15:58 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -9.70%E -7.76%K -38.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -7.70%E -0.855%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 15:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.09%E -4.68%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.83%E -1.51%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 22:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -6.81%E -5.28%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -12.83%E -1.51%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.99%EV -8.26%E -6.50%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -12.83%E -1.51%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.25%EV -7.22%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-24 03:02 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.18%EV -9.70%E -7.76%K -38.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.32%EV -12.83%E -1.51%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -21.23%E -4.72%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-21 16:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -7.53%E -5.89%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -17.95%E -2.24%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -3.72%E -0.677%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -6.81%E -5.28%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -17.95%E -2.24%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -8.10%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 16:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -6.81%E -5.28%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -17.95%E -2.24%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -8.10%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -7.53%E -5.89%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -17.95%E -2.24%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -8.10%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 16:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -7.53%E -5.89%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -17.95%E -2.24%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -8.10%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 16:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.69%EV -8.98%E -7.13%K -34.53%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.49%EV -20.52%E -2.65%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 69.41%EV -11.15%E -9.06%K -48.46%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 12.03%EV -27.18%E -3.83%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.56%EV -19.48%E -4.23%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -9.70%E -7.76%K -38.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -28.21%E -4.03%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 68.83%EV -11.87%E -9.73%K -53.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 12.92%EV -33.34%E -5.13%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.25%EV -19.48%E -4.23%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 19.1% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.06% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 11.93% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.01% | 13.3% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |