La escuela de los momios

Mirassol v Club Always Ready

Inicio: 2026-04-29 22:00 UTC

Final: Mirassol 2–0 Club Always Ready

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (11 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Mirassol (Local)

Predicción 72.24%1.38momio equitativo
EV -3.92%
Ventaja -2.95%
Kelly -11.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.83%72.18%72.21%74.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.281.291.3381.97%78.00%77.52%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Club Always Ready (Visitante)

Predicción 10.26%9.75momio equitativo
EV +17.94%
Ventaja +1.56%
Kelly +1.71%
Crecimiento +0.307%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.50%10.25%10.40%12.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.509.299.1011.5015.38%10.77%10.99%8.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 17.50%5.71momio equitativo
EV -0.573%
Ventaja -0.101%
Kelly -0.122%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.66%17.57%17.39%19.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.245.255.6822.22%19.08%19.05%17.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 74.05%EV -4.64%E -3.52%K -14.51%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.50%EV +17.94%E +1.56%K +1.71%G +0.307%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.45%EV -1.97%E -0.352%K -0.429%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-23 22:09
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.05%EV -4.64%E -3.52%K -14.51%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.50%EV +17.94%E +1.56%K +1.71%G +0.307%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.45%EV -1.97%E -0.352%K -0.429%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-23 22:09
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -8.26%E -6.50%K -30.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +12.81%E +1.16%K +1.28%G +0.164%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -3.72%E -0.677%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 22:09
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -8.26%E -6.50%K -30.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +12.81%E +1.16%K +1.28%G +0.164%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -3.72%E -0.677%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 22:10
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -8.26%E -6.50%K -30.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +12.81%E +1.16%K +1.28%G +0.164%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -3.72%E -0.677%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 22:09
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -8.26%E -6.50%K -30.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +12.81%E +1.16%K +1.28%G +0.164%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -3.72%E -0.677%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 22:09
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -8.26%E -6.50%K -30.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +12.81%E +1.16%K +1.28%G +0.164%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -3.72%E -0.677%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -8.98%E -7.13%K -34.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +12.81%E +1.16%K +1.28%G +0.164%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -5.47%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 22:09
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -11.15%E -9.06%K -48.46%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.67%EV +7.68%E +0.732%K +0.809%G +0.062%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -8.10%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 22:09
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -11.15%E -9.06%K -48.46%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.67%EV +7.68%E +0.732%K +0.809%G +0.062%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -8.10%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 22:10
PMU (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -11.15%E -9.06%K -48.46%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.67%EV +7.68%E +0.732%K +0.809%G +0.062%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -8.10%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 22:10
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -6.09%E -4.68%K -20.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV +2.56%E +0.256%K +0.284%G +0.007%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -3.72%E -0.677%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 16:45
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.33%EV -5.37%E -4.10%K -17.31%G +0.000%9.85I 10.15%NM 9.75%EV +1.02%E +0.103%K +0.115%G +0.001%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.91%EV -0.573%E -0.101%K -0.122%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-24 03:30
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.36%EV -4.64%E -3.52%K -14.51%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.61%EV +0.505%E +0.052%K +0.057%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.03%EV -13.35%E -2.70%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 09:44
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 71.36%EV -4.64%E -3.52%K -14.51%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.61%EV +0.505%E +0.052%K +0.057%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.03%EV -13.35%E -2.70%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 09:44
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -6.09%E -4.68%K -20.30%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -2.57%E -0.271%K -0.302%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -8.10%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 16:00
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 71.90%EV -7.53%E -5.89%K -26.90%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV -2.57%E -0.271%K -0.302%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 16:00
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -7.53%E -5.89%K -26.90%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.92%EV -3.60%E -0.383%K -0.428%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -5.47%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 03:28
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.94%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.88%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.34%EV -5.14%E -0.555%K -0.622%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.72%EV -5.47%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 03:33
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 71.94%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.88%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.34%EV -5.14%E -0.555%K -0.622%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.72%EV -5.47%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 03:40
GTbets1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -6.09%E -4.68%K -20.30%G +0.000%9.12I 10.96%NM 10.35%EV -6.47%E -0.709%K -0.797%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.06%EV -3.20%E -0.578%K -0.706%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 00:15
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 72.99%EV -6.81%E -5.28%K -23.49%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.35%EV -6.67%E -0.733%K -0.824%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.66%EV -1.10%E -0.194%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 18:45
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 72.99%EV -6.81%E -5.28%K -23.49%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.35%EV -6.67%E -0.733%K -0.824%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.66%EV -1.10%E -0.194%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 18:44
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 72.89%EV -6.81%E -5.28%K -23.49%G +0.000%9.06I 11.04%NM 10.38%EV -7.08%E -0.782%K -0.879%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 16.73%EV -1.62%E -0.289%K -0.351%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 10:00
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -6.09%E -4.68%K -20.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -7.70%E -0.855%K -0.962%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -8.10%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 15:35
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -6.09%E -4.68%K -20.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -7.70%E -0.855%K -0.962%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 22:14
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -6.09%E -4.68%K -20.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -7.70%E -0.855%K -0.962%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 22:15
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -6.09%E -4.68%K -20.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -7.70%E -0.855%K -0.962%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 22:15
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -6.09%E -4.68%K -20.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -7.70%E -0.855%K -0.962%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 22:14
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.81%E -5.28%K -23.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -7.70%E -0.855%K -0.962%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 15:58
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -9.70%E -7.76%K -38.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -7.70%E -0.855%K -0.962%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 15:59
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.09%E -4.68%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.83%E -1.51%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 22:09
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -6.81%E -5.28%K -23.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -12.83%E -1.51%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 11:34
Suprabets1.27I 78.74%NM 71.99%EV -8.26%E -6.50%K -30.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -12.83%E -1.51%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.25%EV -7.22%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 03:02
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.18%EV -9.70%E -7.76%K -38.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.32%EV -12.83%E -1.51%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -21.23%E -4.72%K -6.07%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-21 16:00
theScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -7.53%E -5.89%K -26.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -17.95%E -2.24%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -3.72%E -0.677%K -0.827%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 11:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -6.81%E -5.28%K -23.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -17.95%E -2.24%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -8.10%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 16:04
Neds1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -6.81%E -5.28%K -23.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -17.95%E -2.24%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -8.10%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 16:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -7.53%E -5.89%K -26.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -17.95%E -2.24%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -8.10%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 16:04
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -7.53%E -5.89%K -26.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -17.95%E -2.24%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -8.10%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 16:05
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 70.69%EV -8.98%E -7.13%K -34.53%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.49%EV -20.52%E -2.65%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 11:39
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 69.41%EV -11.15%E -9.06%K -48.46%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.03%EV -27.18%E -3.83%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.56%EV -19.48%E -4.23%K -5.41%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-23 22:05
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -9.70%E -7.76%K -38.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -28.21%E -4.03%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-23 11:34
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 68.83%EV -11.87%E -9.73%K -53.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 12.92%EV -33.34%E -5.13%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.25%EV -19.48%E -4.23%K -5.41%G +0.000%19.1%2026-04-23 11:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 70.06%7.40I 13.51%NM 11.93%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.01%13.3%2026-04-23 11:35