L’École des cotes

Mirassol v Club Always Ready

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-29 22:00 UTC

Score final : Mirassol 2–0 Club Always Ready

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Mirassol (Local)

Prévision 72.24%1.38cote équitable
EV -3.92%
Avantage -2.95%
Kelly -11.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.83%72.18%72.21%74.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.281.291.3381.97%78.00%77.52%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Club Always Ready (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.26%9.75cote équitable
EV +17.94%
Avantage +1.56%
Kelly +1.71%
Croissance +0.307%

avec la cote maximale 11.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.50%10.25%10.40%12.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.509.299.1011.5015.38%10.77%10.99%8.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 17.50%5.71cote équitable
EV -0.573%
Avantage -0.101%
Kelly -0.122%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.66%17.57%17.39%19.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.245.255.6822.22%19.08%19.05%17.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 74.05%EV -4.64%E -3.52%K -14.51%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.50%EV +17.94%E +1.56%K +1.71%G +0.307%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.45%EV -1.97%E -0.352%K -0.429%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-23 22:09
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.05%EV -4.64%E -3.52%K -14.51%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.50%EV +17.94%E +1.56%K +1.71%G +0.307%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.45%EV -1.97%E -0.352%K -0.429%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-23 22:09
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -8.26%E -6.50%K -30.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +12.81%E +1.16%K +1.28%G +0.164%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -3.72%E -0.677%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 22:09
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -8.26%E -6.50%K -30.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +12.81%E +1.16%K +1.28%G +0.164%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -3.72%E -0.677%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 22:10
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -8.26%E -6.50%K -30.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +12.81%E +1.16%K +1.28%G +0.164%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -3.72%E -0.677%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 22:09
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -8.26%E -6.50%K -30.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +12.81%E +1.16%K +1.28%G +0.164%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -3.72%E -0.677%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 22:09
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 74.27%EV -8.26%E -6.50%K -30.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +12.81%E +1.16%K +1.28%G +0.164%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -3.72%E -0.677%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -8.98%E -7.13%K -34.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +12.81%E +1.16%K +1.28%G +0.164%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -5.47%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 22:09
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -11.15%E -9.06%K -48.46%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.67%EV +7.68%E +0.732%K +0.809%G +0.062%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -8.10%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 22:09
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -11.15%E -9.06%K -48.46%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.67%EV +7.68%E +0.732%K +0.809%G +0.062%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -8.10%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 22:10
PMU (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -11.15%E -9.06%K -48.46%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.67%EV +7.68%E +0.732%K +0.809%G +0.062%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -8.10%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 22:10
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -6.09%E -4.68%K -20.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV +2.56%E +0.256%K +0.284%G +0.007%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -3.72%E -0.677%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 16:45
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.33%EV -5.37%E -4.10%K -17.31%G +0.000%9.85I 10.15%NM 9.75%EV +1.02%E +0.103%K +0.115%G +0.001%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.91%EV -0.573%E -0.101%K -0.122%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-24 03:30
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.36%EV -4.64%E -3.52%K -14.51%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.61%EV +0.505%E +0.052%K +0.057%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.03%EV -13.35%E -2.70%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 09:44
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 71.36%EV -4.64%E -3.52%K -14.51%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.61%EV +0.505%E +0.052%K +0.057%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.03%EV -13.35%E -2.70%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 09:44
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -6.09%E -4.68%K -20.30%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -2.57%E -0.271%K -0.302%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -8.10%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 16:00
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 71.90%EV -7.53%E -5.89%K -26.90%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV -2.57%E -0.271%K -0.302%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 16:00
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -7.53%E -5.89%K -26.90%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.92%EV -3.60%E -0.383%K -0.428%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -5.47%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 03:28
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.94%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.88%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.34%EV -5.14%E -0.555%K -0.622%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.72%EV -5.47%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 03:33
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 71.94%EV -3.92%E -2.95%K -11.88%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.34%EV -5.14%E -0.555%K -0.622%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.72%EV -5.47%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 03:40
GTbets1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -6.09%E -4.68%K -20.30%G +0.000%9.12I 10.96%NM 10.35%EV -6.47%E -0.709%K -0.797%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.06%EV -3.20%E -0.578%K -0.706%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 00:15
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 72.99%EV -6.81%E -5.28%K -23.49%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.35%EV -6.67%E -0.733%K -0.824%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.66%EV -1.10%E -0.194%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 18:45
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 72.99%EV -6.81%E -5.28%K -23.49%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.35%EV -6.67%E -0.733%K -0.824%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.66%EV -1.10%E -0.194%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 18:44
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 72.89%EV -6.81%E -5.28%K -23.49%G +0.000%9.06I 11.04%NM 10.38%EV -7.08%E -0.782%K -0.879%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 16.73%EV -1.62%E -0.289%K -0.351%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 10:00
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -6.09%E -4.68%K -20.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -7.70%E -0.855%K -0.962%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -8.10%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 15:35
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -6.09%E -4.68%K -20.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -7.70%E -0.855%K -0.962%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 22:14
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -6.09%E -4.68%K -20.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -7.70%E -0.855%K -0.962%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 22:15
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -6.09%E -4.68%K -20.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -7.70%E -0.855%K -0.962%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 22:15
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -6.09%E -4.68%K -20.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -7.70%E -0.855%K -0.962%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 22:14
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.81%E -5.28%K -23.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -7.70%E -0.855%K -0.962%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 15:58
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -9.70%E -7.76%K -38.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -7.70%E -0.855%K -0.962%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 15:59
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.09%E -4.68%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.83%E -1.51%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 22:09
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -6.81%E -5.28%K -23.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -12.83%E -1.51%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 11:34
Suprabets1.27I 78.74%NM 71.99%EV -8.26%E -6.50%K -30.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -12.83%E -1.51%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.25%EV -7.22%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 03:02
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.18%EV -9.70%E -7.76%K -38.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.32%EV -12.83%E -1.51%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -21.23%E -4.72%K -6.07%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-21 16:00
theScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -7.53%E -5.89%K -26.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -17.95%E -2.24%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -3.72%E -0.677%K -0.827%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 11:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -6.81%E -5.28%K -23.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -17.95%E -2.24%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -8.10%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 16:04
Neds1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -6.81%E -5.28%K -23.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -17.95%E -2.24%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -8.10%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 16:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -7.53%E -5.89%K -26.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -17.95%E -2.24%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -8.10%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 16:04
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -7.53%E -5.89%K -26.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -17.95%E -2.24%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -8.10%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 16:05
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 70.69%EV -8.98%E -7.13%K -34.53%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.49%EV -20.52%E -2.65%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 11:39
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 69.41%EV -11.15%E -9.06%K -48.46%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.03%EV -27.18%E -3.83%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.56%EV -19.48%E -4.23%K -5.41%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-23 22:05
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -9.70%E -7.76%K -38.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -28.21%E -4.03%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -12.48%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-23 11:34
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 68.83%EV -11.87%E -9.73%K -53.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 12.92%EV -33.34%E -5.13%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.25%EV -19.48%E -4.23%K -5.41%G +0.000%19.1%2026-04-23 11:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 70.06%7.40I 13.51%NM 11.93%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.01%13.3%2026-04-23 11:35