Школа коэффициентов

Lanus v Mirassol

Начало: 2026-05-26 22:00 UTC

Итог: Lanus 1–0 Mirassol

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

46 букмекерских контор (13 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Lanus (Хозяева)

Прогноз 46.76%2.14справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.81%
Преимущество -0.862%
Kelly -1.65%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.10

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
43.94%46.82%46.72%49.45%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.851.971.952.1054.05%50.86%51.28%47.62%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Mirassol (Гости)

Прогноз 21.57%4.64справедливый коэффициент
EV +9.15%
Преимущество +1.81%
Kelly +2.25%
Рост +0.206%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.06

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.80%21.39%21.86%23.54%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.754.394.335.0626.67%22.76%23.12%19.76%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 31.67%3.16справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.18%
Преимущество -0.379%
Kelly -0.557%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.12

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.72%31.79%31.43%34.30%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.622.932.903.1238.17%34.17%34.48%32.05%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 47.08%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.98%EV +9.15%E +1.81%K +2.25%G +0.206%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.94%EV -10.37%E -3.66%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 21:50
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 47.08%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.98%EV +9.15%E +1.81%K +2.25%G +0.206%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.94%EV -10.37%E -3.66%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 21:50
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.90%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56%EV +7.85%E +1.57%K +1.96%G +0.154%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.55%EV -1.81%E -0.585%K -0.864%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-26 21:40
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.90%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56%EV +7.85%E +1.57%K +1.96%G +0.154%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.55%EV -1.81%E -0.585%K -0.864%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-26 21:40
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV +7.85%E +1.57%K +1.96%G +0.154%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -12.90%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 21:50
Suprabets2.01I 49.75%NM 46.59%EV -6.02%E -2.99%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV +5.69%E +1.16%K +1.46%G +0.083%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.30%EV -13.53%E -4.96%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 21:49
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.89%EV -9.76%E -5.06%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV +3.54%E +0.737%K +0.931%G +0.033%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 21:40
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.83%EV -8.82%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.12%EV -3.08%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 21:00
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.83%EV -8.82%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.12%EV -3.08%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 21:09
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.92%EV -10.23%E -5.33%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 21:40
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 48.92%EV -10.23%E -5.33%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 21:40
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.92%EV -10.23%E -5.33%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 21:40
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.92%EV -10.23%E -5.33%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.05%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 21:40
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 21:49
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 49.45%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.18%EV +0.949%E +0.203%K +0.258%G +0.002%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.37%EV -1.50%E -0.482%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 21:00
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.88%EV -13.03%E -7.01%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -0.776%E -0.169%K -0.216%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-26 21:40
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.88%EV -13.03%E -7.01%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -0.776%E -0.169%K -0.216%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-26 21:40
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.60%EV -8.82%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -0.776%E -0.169%K -0.216%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-26 21:40
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.02%EV -13.50%E -7.30%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -0.776%E -0.169%K -0.216%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-26 21:40
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.15%E -2.02%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.30%EV -2.93%E -0.652%K -0.838%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.95%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 21:50
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.95%EV -5.08%E -2.50%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -2.93%E -0.652%K -0.838%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 21:50
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 46.23%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.07%EV -5.09%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.70%EV -17.02%E -6.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-26 21:39
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -8.82%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -8.33%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -1.81%E -0.585%K -0.864%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 21:10
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.69%EV -2.75%E -1.32%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.33%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.44%EV -11.95%E -4.30%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 21:50
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.69%EV -2.75%E -1.32%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.33%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.44%EV -11.95%E -4.30%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 21:49
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -4.15%E -2.02%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -1.81%E -0.585%K -0.864%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 21:50
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -1.81%E -0.585%K -0.864%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 21:50
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 21:50
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.94%EV -1.81%E -0.862%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -12.90%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-26 21:50
Codere (IT)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.55%EV -7.89%E -4.00%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-26 21:50
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.90%EV -9.29%E -4.79%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.47%EV -12.64%E -3.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.63%EV -5.93%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-26 21:47
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.05%EV -3.68%E -1.79%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.54%EV -13.07%E -3.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.41%EV -1.18%E -0.379%K -0.557%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 21:49
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.82%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -1.81%E -0.585%K -0.864%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-26 21:09
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-26 21:00
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-26 21:00
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-26 21:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-26 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-26 20:59
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-26 20:59
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.66%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -9.10%E -3.17%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-26 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.66%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -9.10%E -3.17%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-26 21:00
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.75%EV -8.36%E -4.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -14.80%E -3.75%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -3.40%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-26 21:50
Unibet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.55%EV -10.23%E -5.33%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -14.80%E -3.75%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.82%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-26 21:49
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.26%EV -11.16%E -5.87%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -19.11%E -5.10%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-26 21:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.37%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.11%EV -19.11%E -5.10%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.51%EV -12.90%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-26 21:40
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (4)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.59%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-05-26 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.59%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-05-26 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.59%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-05-26 21:50
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.87%2.1%2026-05-26 21:50