مدرسة الاحتمالات

Lanus v Mirassol

البداية: 2026-05-26 22:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Lanus 1–0 Mirassol

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (13 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Lanus (المضيف)

التنبؤ 46.76%2.14السعر العادل
EV -1.81%
الأفضلية -0.862%
Kelly -1.65%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.94%46.82%46.72%49.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.851.971.952.1054.05%50.86%51.28%47.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Mirassol (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.57%4.64السعر العادل
EV +9.15%
الأفضلية +1.81%
Kelly +2.25%
النمو +0.206%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.06

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.80%21.39%21.86%23.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.394.335.0626.67%22.76%23.12%19.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 31.67%3.16السعر العادل
EV -1.18%
الأفضلية -0.379%
Kelly -0.557%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.12

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.72%31.79%31.43%34.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.622.932.903.1238.17%34.17%34.48%32.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 47.08%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.98%EV +9.15%E +1.81%K +2.25%G +0.206%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.94%EV -10.37%E -3.66%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 21:50
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 47.08%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.98%EV +9.15%E +1.81%K +2.25%G +0.206%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.94%EV -10.37%E -3.66%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 21:50
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.90%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56%EV +7.85%E +1.57%K +1.96%G +0.154%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.55%EV -1.81%E -0.585%K -0.864%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-26 21:40
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.90%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56%EV +7.85%E +1.57%K +1.96%G +0.154%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.55%EV -1.81%E -0.585%K -0.864%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-26 21:40
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV +7.85%E +1.57%K +1.96%G +0.154%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -12.90%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 21:50
Suprabets2.01I 49.75%NM 46.59%EV -6.02%E -2.99%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV +5.69%E +1.16%K +1.46%G +0.083%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.30%EV -13.53%E -4.96%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 21:49
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.89%EV -9.76%E -5.06%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV +3.54%E +0.737%K +0.931%G +0.033%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 21:40
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.83%EV -8.82%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.12%EV -3.08%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 21:00
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.83%EV -8.82%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.12%EV -3.08%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 21:09
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.92%EV -10.23%E -5.33%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 21:40
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 48.92%EV -10.23%E -5.33%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 21:40
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.92%EV -10.23%E -5.33%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 21:40
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.92%EV -10.23%E -5.33%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.05%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 21:40
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 21:49
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 49.45%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.18%EV +0.949%E +0.203%K +0.258%G +0.002%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.37%EV -1.50%E -0.482%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 21:00
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.88%EV -13.03%E -7.01%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -0.776%E -0.169%K -0.216%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-26 21:40
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.88%EV -13.03%E -7.01%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -0.776%E -0.169%K -0.216%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-26 21:40
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.60%EV -8.82%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -0.776%E -0.169%K -0.216%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-26 21:40
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.02%EV -13.50%E -7.30%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -0.776%E -0.169%K -0.216%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-26 21:40
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.15%E -2.02%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.30%EV -2.93%E -0.652%K -0.838%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.95%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 21:50
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.95%EV -5.08%E -2.50%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -2.93%E -0.652%K -0.838%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 21:50
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 46.23%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.07%EV -5.09%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.70%EV -17.02%E -6.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-26 21:39
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -8.82%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -8.33%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -1.81%E -0.585%K -0.864%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 21:10
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.69%EV -2.75%E -1.32%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.33%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.44%EV -11.95%E -4.30%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 21:50
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.69%EV -2.75%E -1.32%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.33%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.44%EV -11.95%E -4.30%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 21:49
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -4.15%E -2.02%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -1.81%E -0.585%K -0.864%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 21:50
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -1.81%E -0.585%K -0.864%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 21:50
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 21:50
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.94%EV -1.81%E -0.862%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -12.90%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-26 21:50
Codere (IT)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.55%EV -7.89%E -4.00%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-26 21:50
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.90%EV -9.29%E -4.79%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.47%EV -12.64%E -3.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.63%EV -5.93%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-26 21:47
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.05%EV -3.68%E -1.79%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.54%EV -13.07%E -3.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.41%EV -1.18%E -0.379%K -0.557%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 21:49
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.82%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -1.81%E -0.585%K -0.864%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-26 21:09
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-26 21:00
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-26 21:00
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-26 21:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-26 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-26 20:59
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-26 20:59
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.66%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -9.10%E -3.17%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-26 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.66%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -9.10%E -3.17%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-26 21:00
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.75%EV -8.36%E -4.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -14.80%E -3.75%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -3.40%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-26 21:50
Unibet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.55%EV -10.23%E -5.33%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -14.80%E -3.75%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.82%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-26 21:49
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.26%EV -11.16%E -5.87%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -19.11%E -5.10%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-26 21:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.37%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.11%EV -19.11%E -5.10%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.51%EV -12.90%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-26 21:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.59%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-05-26 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.59%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-05-26 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.59%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-05-26 21:50
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.87%2.1%2026-05-26 21:50