La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Lanus v Mirassol
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lanus (Local)
Predicción 46.76%2.14momio equitativo
EV -1.81%
Ventaja -0.862%
Kelly -1.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.94%46.82%46.72%49.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.851.971.952.1054.05%50.86%51.28%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Mirassol (Visitante)
Predicción 21.57%4.64momio equitativo
EV +9.15%
Ventaja +1.81%
Kelly +2.25%
Crecimiento +0.206%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.80%21.39%21.86%23.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.394.335.0626.67%22.76%23.12%19.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.67%3.16momio equitativo
EV -1.18%
Ventaja -0.379%
Kelly -0.557%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.72%31.79%31.43%34.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.932.903.1238.17%34.17%34.48%32.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.08%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.98%EV +9.15%E +1.81%K +2.25%G +0.206% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.94%EV -10.37%E -3.66%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| BetUS | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.08%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.98%EV +9.15%E +1.81%K +2.25%G +0.206% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.94%EV -10.37%E -3.66%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.90%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56%EV +7.85%E +1.57%K +1.96%G +0.154% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.55%EV -1.81%E -0.585%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.90%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56%EV +7.85%E +1.57%K +1.96%G +0.154% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.55%EV -1.81%E -0.585%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV +7.85%E +1.57%K +1.96%G +0.154% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -12.90%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Suprabets | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.59%EV -6.02%E -2.99%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV +5.69%E +1.16%K +1.46%G +0.083% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.30%EV -13.53%E -4.96%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 21:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.89%EV -9.76%E -5.06%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV +3.54%E +0.737%K +0.931%G +0.033% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.83%EV -8.82%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.12%EV -3.08%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 21:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.83%EV -8.82%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.12%EV -3.08%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 21:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.92%EV -10.23%E -5.33%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| Casumo | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.92%EV -10.23%E -5.33%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.92%EV -10.23%E -5.33%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| Unibet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.92%EV -10.23%E -5.33%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.05%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 21:49 |
| GTbets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.45%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.18%EV +0.949%E +0.203%K +0.258%G +0.002% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.37%EV -1.50%E -0.482%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 21:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.88%EV -13.03%E -7.01%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -0.776%E -0.169%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.88%EV -13.03%E -7.01%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -0.776%E -0.169%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.60%EV -8.82%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -0.776%E -0.169%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.02%EV -13.50%E -7.30%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -0.776%E -0.169%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.15%E -2.02%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.30%EV -2.93%E -0.652%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.95%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.95%EV -5.08%E -2.50%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -2.93%E -0.652%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.23%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.07%EV -5.09%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.70%EV -17.02%E -6.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-26 21:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -8.82%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -8.33%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -1.81%E -0.585%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 21:10 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.69%EV -2.75%E -1.32%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.33%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.44%EV -11.95%E -4.30%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.69%EV -2.75%E -1.32%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.33%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.44%EV -11.95%E -4.30%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 21:49 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -4.15%E -2.02%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -1.81%E -0.585%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -1.81%E -0.585%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.94%EV -1.81%E -0.862%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -12.90%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.55%EV -7.89%E -4.00%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.90%EV -9.29%E -4.79%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.47%EV -12.64%E -3.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.63%EV -5.93%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-26 21:47 |
| 1xBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.05%EV -3.68%E -1.79%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.54%EV -13.07%E -3.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.41%EV -1.18%E -0.379%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 21:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.82%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -1.81%E -0.585%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-26 21:09 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-26 21:00 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-26 21:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-26 21:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-26 20:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-26 20:59 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-26 20:59 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.66%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -9.10%E -3.17%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-26 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.66%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -9.10%E -3.17%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-26 21:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.75%EV -8.36%E -4.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -14.80%E -3.75%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -3.40%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.55%EV -10.23%E -5.33%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -14.80%E -3.75%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.82%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-26 21:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.26%EV -11.16%E -5.87%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -19.11%E -5.10%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.37%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.11%EV -19.11%E -5.10%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.51%EV -12.90%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.59% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.59% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.59% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.54% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.87% | 2.1% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |