L’École des cotesFrançais
Lanus v Mirassol
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Lanus (Local)
Prévision 46.76%2.14cote équitable
EV -1.81%
Avantage -0.862%
Kelly -1.65%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.94%46.82%46.72%49.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.851.971.952.1054.05%50.86%51.28%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Mirassol (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.57%4.64cote équitable
EV +9.15%
Avantage +1.81%
Kelly +2.25%
Croissance +0.206%
avec la cote maximale 5.06
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.80%21.39%21.86%23.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.394.335.0626.67%22.76%23.12%19.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 31.67%3.16cote équitable
EV -1.18%
Avantage -0.379%
Kelly -0.557%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.12
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.72%31.79%31.43%34.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.622.932.903.1238.17%34.17%34.48%32.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.08%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.98%EV +9.15%E +1.81%K +2.25%G +0.206% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.94%EV -10.37%E -3.66%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| BetUS | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.08%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.98%EV +9.15%E +1.81%K +2.25%G +0.206% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.94%EV -10.37%E -3.66%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.90%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56%EV +7.85%E +1.57%K +1.96%G +0.154% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.55%EV -1.81%E -0.585%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.90%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.56%EV +7.85%E +1.57%K +1.96%G +0.154% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.55%EV -1.81%E -0.585%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV +7.85%E +1.57%K +1.96%G +0.154% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -12.90%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Suprabets | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.59%EV -6.02%E -2.99%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV +5.69%E +1.16%K +1.46%G +0.083% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.30%EV -13.53%E -4.96%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 21:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.89%EV -9.76%E -5.06%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV +3.54%E +0.737%K +0.931%G +0.033% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.83%EV -8.82%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.12%EV -3.08%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 21:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.83%EV -8.82%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.12%EV -3.08%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 21:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.92%EV -10.23%E -5.33%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| Casumo | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.92%EV -10.23%E -5.33%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.92%EV -10.23%E -5.33%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| Unibet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.92%EV -10.23%E -5.33%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.05%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 21:49 |
| GTbets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.45%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.18%EV +0.949%E +0.203%K +0.258%G +0.002% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.37%EV -1.50%E -0.482%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 21:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.88%EV -13.03%E -7.01%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -0.776%E -0.169%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.88%EV -13.03%E -7.01%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -0.776%E -0.169%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.60%EV -8.82%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -0.776%E -0.169%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -14.48%E -5.36%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.02%EV -13.50%E -7.30%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -0.776%E -0.169%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.15%E -2.02%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.30%EV -2.93%E -0.652%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.95%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.95%EV -5.08%E -2.50%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -2.93%E -0.652%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.23%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.07%EV -5.09%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.70%EV -17.02%E -6.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-26 21:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -8.82%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -8.33%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -1.81%E -0.585%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 21:10 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.69%EV -2.75%E -1.32%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.33%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.44%EV -11.95%E -4.30%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.69%EV -2.75%E -1.32%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.33%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.44%EV -11.95%E -4.30%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 21:49 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -4.15%E -2.02%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -1.81%E -0.585%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -1.81%E -0.585%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -4.98%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.94%EV -1.81%E -0.862%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -12.90%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.55%EV -7.89%E -4.00%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.90%EV -9.29%E -4.79%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.47%EV -12.64%E -3.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.63%EV -5.93%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-26 21:47 |
| 1xBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.05%EV -3.68%E -1.79%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.54%EV -13.07%E -3.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.41%EV -1.18%E -0.379%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 21:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.82%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -1.81%E -0.585%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-26 21:09 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-26 21:00 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-26 21:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-26 21:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -6.49%E -3.24%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-26 20:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-26 20:59 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-26 20:59 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.66%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -9.10%E -3.17%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-26 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.66%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -9.10%E -3.17%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-26 21:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.75%EV -8.36%E -4.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -14.80%E -3.75%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -3.40%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.55%EV -10.23%E -5.33%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -14.80%E -3.75%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.82%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-26 21:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.26%EV -11.16%E -5.87%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -19.11%E -5.10%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.37%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.11%EV -19.11%E -5.10%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.51%EV -12.90%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.59% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.59% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.59% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.54% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.87% | 2.1% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |