Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lanus v Club Always Ready

Kickoff: 2026-04-16 22:02 UTC

Final: Lanus 1–0 Club Always Ready

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lanus (Local)

Prediction 70.89%1.41fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -2.64%
Kelly -9.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.77%71.19%70.65%76.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.281.301.3684.75%77.85%76.92%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Club Always Ready (Visit)

Prediction 10.56%9.47fair odd
EV +37.30%
Edge +2.87%
Kelly +3.11%
Growth +1.16%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.28%10.41%10.80%12.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.009.569.4513.0014.29%10.46%10.58%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.55%5.39fair odd
EV +13.15%
Edge +2.16%
Kelly +2.58%
Growth +0.339%

assuming max odds 6.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.77%18.39%18.56%19.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.145.076.1022.22%19.46%19.72%16.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lanus (Local): 70.89%; Club Always Ready (Visit): 10.56%; Draw: 18.55%. For Club Always Ready (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.47. 23 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +37.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 76.44%EV -9.26%E -7.24%K -33.08%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.53%EV +37.30%E +2.87%K +3.11%G +1.16%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.04%EV +13.15%E +2.16%K +2.58%G +0.339%2.2%2026-04-16 22:00
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.95%EV -12.81%E -10.41%K -55.68%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +37.30%E +2.87%K +3.11%G +1.16%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.77%EV +11.29%E +1.88%K +2.26%G +0.255%5.7%2026-04-16 21:48
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.16%EV -12.10%E -9.76%K -50.40%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.56%EV +32.02%E +2.56%K +2.78%G +0.892%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.28%EV +7.58%E +1.31%K +1.58%G +0.120%5.9%2026-04-16 22:00
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.31%EV -12.81%E -10.41%K -55.68%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.51%EV +32.02%E +2.56%K +2.78%G +0.892%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +7.58%E +1.31%K +1.58%G +0.120%6.5%2026-04-16 21:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.31%EV -12.81%E -10.41%K -55.68%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.51%EV +32.02%E +2.56%K +2.78%G +0.892%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +7.58%E +1.31%K +1.58%G +0.120%6.5%2026-04-16 22:00
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.85%EV -11.39%E -9.11%K -45.55%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV +21.46%E +1.87%K +2.04%G +0.439%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV +2.02%E +0.367%K +0.448%G +0.009%6.9%2026-04-16 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.85%EV -11.39%E -9.11%K -45.55%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV +21.46%E +1.87%K +2.04%G +0.439%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV +2.02%E +0.367%K +0.448%G +0.009%6.9%2026-04-16 22:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.97%EV -8.55%E -6.63%K -29.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV +16.18%E +1.47%K +1.62%G +0.262%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV +2.02%E +0.367%K +0.448%G +0.009%4.8%2026-04-16 21:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.97%EV -8.55%E -6.63%K -29.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV +16.18%E +1.47%K +1.62%G +0.262%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV +2.02%E +0.367%K +0.448%G +0.009%4.8%2026-04-16 22:00
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.98%EV -11.39%E -9.11%K -45.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +16.18%E +1.47%K +1.62%G +0.262%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -2.62%E -0.499%K -0.617%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 22:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.50%EV -12.10%E -9.76%K -50.40%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV +16.18%E +1.47%K +1.62%G +0.262%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV +0.162%E +0.030%K +0.037%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 22:00
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.50%EV -12.10%E -9.76%K -50.40%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV +16.18%E +1.47%K +1.62%G +0.262%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV +0.162%E +0.030%K +0.037%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.50%EV -12.10%E -9.76%K -50.40%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV +16.18%E +1.47%K +1.62%G +0.262%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV +0.162%E +0.030%K +0.037%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 22:00
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.97%EV -7.13%E -5.45%K -23.01%G +0.000%10.55I 9.48%NM 9.06%EV +11.43%E +1.08%K +1.20%G +0.137%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.97%EV -1.32%E -0.249%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 21:59
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.74%EV -9.97%E -7.85%K -36.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV +10.90%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.125%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV +0.162%E +0.030%K +0.037%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 22:00
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.04%EV -11.39%E -9.11%K -45.55%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV +10.90%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.125%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-16 22:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 74.42%EV -16.35%E -13.86%K -90.83%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.36%EV +10.90%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.125%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.22%EV -5.40%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-16 22:00
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.58%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000%10.01I 9.99%NM 9.58%EV +5.72%E +0.572%K +0.635%G +0.036%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.84%EV -5.59%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 21:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.26%E -7.24%K -33.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +5.62%E +0.562%K +0.624%G +0.035%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -2.62%E -0.499%K -0.617%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 21:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.26%E -7.24%K -33.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +5.62%E +0.562%K +0.624%G +0.035%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -2.62%E -0.499%K -0.617%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 22:00
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.42%EV -5.72%E -4.30%K -17.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV +0.338%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -11.89%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 21:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.72%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV +0.338%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.46%EV -6.33%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 21:59
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -8.55%E -6.63%K -29.49%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV +0.338%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 21:59
Suprabets🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.65%EV -6.43%E -4.87%K -20.08%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.92%EV -0.718%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -10.97%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 21:56
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.27%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.62%EV -4.94%E -0.549%K -0.618%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.11%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 22:00
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -11.39%E -9.11%K -45.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -4.94%E -0.549%K -0.618%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-16 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.39%E -9.11%K -45.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.80%EV -4.94%E -0.549%K -0.618%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.61%EV -16.53%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-16 21:59
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.65%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -10.22%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.21%EV -3.55%E -0.682%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 21:56
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -6.43%E -4.87%K -20.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.22%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -11.89%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-16 22:00
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.24%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -10.22%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.97%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-16 21:59
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.24%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -10.22%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.97%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-16 22:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.24%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -10.22%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.97%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-16 21:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.24%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -10.22%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.97%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-16 22:00
GTbets🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.04%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.19%EV -12.86%E -1.56%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.76%EV -3.55%E -0.682%K -0.845%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 21:59
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.23%EV -7.13%E -5.45%K -23.01%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.06%EV -13.39%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -14.68%E -3.19%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-16 22:00
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -15.50%E -1.94%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-16 22:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -15.50%E -1.94%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-16 22:00
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.37%EV -5.72%E -4.30%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.53I 13.28%NM 12.43%EV -20.47%E -2.72%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.20%EV +0.904%E +0.166%K +0.204%G +0.002%6.9%2026-04-16 21:59
theScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -20.79%E -2.77%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -20.79%E -2.77%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.97%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-16 21:59
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -20.79%E -2.77%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.97%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-16 21:59
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -20.79%E -2.77%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.97%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-16 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -20.79%E -2.77%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.97%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-16 22:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 69.41%EV -11.39%E -9.11%K -45.55%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 11.73%EV -21.84%E -2.95%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.86%EV -14.68%E -3.19%K -4.08%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-16 21:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.56%EV -7.13%E -5.45%K -23.01%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.57%EV -23.43%E -3.23%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -5.40%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-16 22:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.77%EV -6.43%E -4.87%K -20.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -26.07%E -3.72%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.68%E -3.19%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-16 22:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.35%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.05%1.1%2026-04-16 22:00
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 73.99%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.88%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.13%2.4%2026-04-16 21:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.53%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.82%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.65%3.0%2026-04-16 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.53%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.82%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.65%3.0%2026-04-16 22:00