L’École des cotesFrançais
Lanus v Club Always Ready
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Lanus (Local)
Prévision 70.89%1.41cote équitable
EV -3.59%
Avantage -2.64%
Kelly -9.97%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.77%71.19%70.65%76.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.181.281.301.3684.75%77.85%76.92%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Club Always Ready (Visiteur)
Prévision 10.56%9.47cote équitable
EV +37.30%
Avantage +2.87%
Kelly +3.11%
Croissance +1.16%
avec la cote maximale 13.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.28%10.41%10.80%12.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.009.569.4513.0014.29%10.46%10.58%7.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 18.55%5.39cote équitable
EV +13.15%
Avantage +2.16%
Kelly +2.58%
Croissance +0.339%
avec la cote maximale 6.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.77%18.39%18.56%19.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.145.076.1022.22%19.46%19.72%16.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.44%EV -9.26%E -7.24%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.53%EV +37.30%E +2.87%K +3.11%G +1.16% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 16.04%EV +13.15%E +2.16%K +2.58%G +0.339% | 2.2% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.95%EV -12.81%E -10.41%K -55.68%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +37.30%E +2.87%K +3.11%G +1.16% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.77%EV +11.29%E +1.88%K +2.26%G +0.255% | 5.7% | 2026-04-16 21:48 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.16%EV -12.10%E -9.76%K -50.40%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.56%EV +32.02%E +2.56%K +2.78%G +0.892% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.28%EV +7.58%E +1.31%K +1.58%G +0.120% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Unibet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.31%EV -12.81%E -10.41%K -55.68%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.51%EV +32.02%E +2.56%K +2.78%G +0.892% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +7.58%E +1.31%K +1.58%G +0.120% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.31%EV -12.81%E -10.41%K -55.68%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.51%EV +32.02%E +2.56%K +2.78%G +0.892% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +7.58%E +1.31%K +1.58%G +0.120% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Casumo | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.85%EV -11.39%E -9.11%K -45.55%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV +21.46%E +1.87%K +2.04%G +0.439% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV +2.02%E +0.367%K +0.448%G +0.009% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.85%EV -11.39%E -9.11%K -45.55%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV +21.46%E +1.87%K +2.04%G +0.439% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV +2.02%E +0.367%K +0.448%G +0.009% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.97%EV -8.55%E -6.63%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV +16.18%E +1.47%K +1.62%G +0.262% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV +2.02%E +0.367%K +0.448%G +0.009% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.97%EV -8.55%E -6.63%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV +16.18%E +1.47%K +1.62%G +0.262% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV +2.02%E +0.367%K +0.448%G +0.009% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.98%EV -11.39%E -9.11%K -45.55%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +16.18%E +1.47%K +1.62%G +0.262% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -2.62%E -0.499%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.50%EV -12.10%E -9.76%K -50.40%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV +16.18%E +1.47%K +1.62%G +0.262% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV +0.162%E +0.030%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.50%EV -12.10%E -9.76%K -50.40%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV +16.18%E +1.47%K +1.62%G +0.262% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV +0.162%E +0.030%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.50%EV -12.10%E -9.76%K -50.40%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV +16.18%E +1.47%K +1.62%G +0.262% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV +0.162%E +0.030%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.97%EV -7.13%E -5.45%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 10.55I 9.48%NM 9.06%EV +11.43%E +1.08%K +1.20%G +0.137% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 17.97%EV -1.32%E -0.249%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.74%EV -9.97%E -7.85%K -36.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV +10.90%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.125% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV +0.162%E +0.030%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.04%EV -11.39%E -9.11%K -45.55%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV +10.90%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.125% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.42%EV -16.35%E -13.86%K -90.83%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.36%EV +10.90%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.125% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.22%EV -5.40%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| BetUS | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.58%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 10.01I 9.99%NM 9.58%EV +5.72%E +0.572%K +0.635%G +0.036% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.84%EV -5.59%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.26%E -7.24%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +5.62%E +0.562%K +0.624%G +0.035% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -2.62%E -0.499%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.26%E -7.24%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +5.62%E +0.562%K +0.624%G +0.035% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -2.62%E -0.499%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.42%EV -5.72%E -4.30%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV +0.338%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -11.89%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.72%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV +0.338%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.46%EV -6.33%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -8.55%E -6.63%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV +0.338%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Suprabets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.65%EV -6.43%E -4.87%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.92%EV -0.718%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -10.97%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 21:56 |
| Coolbet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.27%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.62%EV -4.94%E -0.549%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.11%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -11.39%E -9.11%K -45.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -4.94%E -0.549%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.39%E -9.11%K -45.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.80%EV -4.94%E -0.549%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.61%EV -16.53%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Bovada | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.65%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -10.22%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.21%EV -3.55%E -0.682%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 21:56 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -6.43%E -4.87%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.22%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -11.89%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.24%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -10.22%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.97%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.24%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -10.22%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.97%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.24%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -10.22%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.97%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.24%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -10.22%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.97%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| GTbets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.04%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.19%EV -12.86%E -1.56%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.76%EV -3.55%E -0.682%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Betsson | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.23%EV -7.13%E -5.45%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.06%EV -13.39%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -14.68%E -3.19%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -15.50%E -1.94%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -15.50%E -1.94%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.37%EV -5.72%E -4.30%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 7.53I 13.28%NM 12.43%EV -20.47%E -2.72%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.20%EV +0.904%E +0.166%K +0.204%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -20.79%E -2.77%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -20.79%E -2.77%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.97%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -20.79%E -2.77%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.97%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -20.79%E -2.77%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.97%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -20.79%E -2.77%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.97%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.41%EV -11.39%E -9.11%K -45.55%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 11.73%EV -21.84%E -2.95%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.86%EV -14.68%E -3.19%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.56%EV -7.13%E -5.45%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.57%EV -23.43%E -3.23%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -5.40%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.77%EV -6.43%E -4.87%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -26.07%E -3.72%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.68%E -3.19%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.35% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.05% | 1.1% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.99% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.88% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.13% | 2.4% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.53% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.82% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.65% | 3.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.53% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.82% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.65% | 3.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |