La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Lanus v Club Always Ready
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lanus (Local)
Predicción 70.89%1.41momio equitativo
EV -3.59%
Ventaja -2.64%
Kelly -9.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.77%71.19%70.65%76.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.181.281.301.3684.75%77.85%76.92%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Club Always Ready (Visitante)
Predicción 10.56%9.47momio equitativo
EV +37.30%
Ventaja +2.87%
Kelly +3.11%
Crecimiento +1.16%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.28%10.41%10.80%12.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.009.569.4513.0014.29%10.46%10.58%7.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 18.55%5.39momio equitativo
EV +13.15%
Ventaja +2.16%
Kelly +2.58%
Crecimiento +0.339%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.77%18.39%18.56%19.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.145.076.1022.22%19.46%19.72%16.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.44%EV -9.26%E -7.24%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.53%EV +37.30%E +2.87%K +3.11%G +1.16% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 16.04%EV +13.15%E +2.16%K +2.58%G +0.339% | 2.2% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.95%EV -12.81%E -10.41%K -55.68%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +37.30%E +2.87%K +3.11%G +1.16% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.77%EV +11.29%E +1.88%K +2.26%G +0.255% | 5.7% | 2026-04-16 21:48 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.16%EV -12.10%E -9.76%K -50.40%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.56%EV +32.02%E +2.56%K +2.78%G +0.892% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.28%EV +7.58%E +1.31%K +1.58%G +0.120% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Unibet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.31%EV -12.81%E -10.41%K -55.68%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.51%EV +32.02%E +2.56%K +2.78%G +0.892% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +7.58%E +1.31%K +1.58%G +0.120% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.31%EV -12.81%E -10.41%K -55.68%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.51%EV +32.02%E +2.56%K +2.78%G +0.892% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +7.58%E +1.31%K +1.58%G +0.120% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Casumo | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.85%EV -11.39%E -9.11%K -45.55%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV +21.46%E +1.87%K +2.04%G +0.439% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV +2.02%E +0.367%K +0.448%G +0.009% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.85%EV -11.39%E -9.11%K -45.55%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV +21.46%E +1.87%K +2.04%G +0.439% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV +2.02%E +0.367%K +0.448%G +0.009% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.97%EV -8.55%E -6.63%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV +16.18%E +1.47%K +1.62%G +0.262% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV +2.02%E +0.367%K +0.448%G +0.009% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.97%EV -8.55%E -6.63%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV +16.18%E +1.47%K +1.62%G +0.262% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV +2.02%E +0.367%K +0.448%G +0.009% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.98%EV -11.39%E -9.11%K -45.55%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +16.18%E +1.47%K +1.62%G +0.262% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -2.62%E -0.499%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.50%EV -12.10%E -9.76%K -50.40%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV +16.18%E +1.47%K +1.62%G +0.262% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV +0.162%E +0.030%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.50%EV -12.10%E -9.76%K -50.40%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV +16.18%E +1.47%K +1.62%G +0.262% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV +0.162%E +0.030%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.50%EV -12.10%E -9.76%K -50.40%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV +16.18%E +1.47%K +1.62%G +0.262% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV +0.162%E +0.030%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.97%EV -7.13%E -5.45%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 10.55I 9.48%NM 9.06%EV +11.43%E +1.08%K +1.20%G +0.137% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 17.97%EV -1.32%E -0.249%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.74%EV -9.97%E -7.85%K -36.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV +10.90%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.125% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV +0.162%E +0.030%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.04%EV -11.39%E -9.11%K -45.55%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV +10.90%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.125% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.42%EV -16.35%E -13.86%K -90.83%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.36%EV +10.90%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.125% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.22%EV -5.40%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| BetUS | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.58%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 10.01I 9.99%NM 9.58%EV +5.72%E +0.572%K +0.635%G +0.036% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.84%EV -5.59%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.26%E -7.24%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +5.62%E +0.562%K +0.624%G +0.035% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -2.62%E -0.499%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.26%E -7.24%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +5.62%E +0.562%K +0.624%G +0.035% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -2.62%E -0.499%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.42%EV -5.72%E -4.30%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV +0.338%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -11.89%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.72%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV +0.338%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.46%EV -6.33%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -8.55%E -6.63%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV +0.338%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Suprabets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.65%EV -6.43%E -4.87%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.92%EV -0.718%E -0.076%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -10.97%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 21:56 |
| Coolbet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.27%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.62%EV -4.94%E -0.549%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.11%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -11.39%E -9.11%K -45.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -4.94%E -0.549%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.39%E -9.11%K -45.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.80%EV -4.94%E -0.549%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.61%EV -16.53%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Bovada | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.65%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -10.22%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.21%EV -3.55%E -0.682%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 21:56 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -6.43%E -4.87%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.22%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -11.89%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.24%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -10.22%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.97%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.24%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -10.22%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.97%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.24%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -10.22%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.97%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.24%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -10.22%E -1.20%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.97%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| GTbets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.04%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.19%EV -12.86%E -1.56%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.76%EV -3.55%E -0.682%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Betsson | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.23%EV -7.13%E -5.45%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.06%EV -13.39%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -14.68%E -3.19%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -15.50%E -1.94%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -15.50%E -1.94%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.37%EV -5.72%E -4.30%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 7.53I 13.28%NM 12.43%EV -20.47%E -2.72%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.20%EV +0.904%E +0.166%K +0.204%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -20.79%E -2.77%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -20.79%E -2.77%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.97%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -20.79%E -2.77%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.97%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -20.79%E -2.77%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.97%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.84%E -6.03%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -20.79%E -2.77%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.97%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.41%EV -11.39%E -9.11%K -45.55%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 11.73%EV -21.84%E -2.95%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.86%EV -14.68%E -3.19%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.56%EV -7.13%E -5.45%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.57%EV -23.43%E -3.23%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -5.40%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.77%EV -6.43%E -4.87%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -26.07%E -3.72%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.68%E -3.19%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.35% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.05% | 1.1% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.99% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.88% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.13% | 2.4% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.53% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.82% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.65% | 3.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.53% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.82% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.65% | 3.0% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |