Language:English
Independiente Santa Fe v Platense
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Independiente Santa Fe (Local)
Prediction 43.32%2.31fair odd
EV -4.70%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -3.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.50%43.47%43.27%44.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.122.2050.00%47.10%47.17%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Platense (Visit)
Prediction 25.86%3.87fair odd
EV +0.840%
Edge +0.215%
Kelly +0.290%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.40%25.71%25.85%26.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.653.653.9030.30%27.38%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.83%3.24fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.423%
Kelly -0.615%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.15%30.82%30.88%31.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.033.053.2037.04%32.97%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Independiente Santa Fe (Local): 43.32%; Platense (Visit): 25.86%; Draw: 30.83%. For Platense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.840%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.41%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.05%EV +0.840%E +0.215%K +0.290%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.53%EV -1.35%E -0.423%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.41%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.05%EV +0.840%E +0.215%K +0.290%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.53%EV -1.35%E -0.423%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV +0.840%E +0.215%K +0.290%G +0.002% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.24%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-19 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV +0.840%E +0.215%K +0.290%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 20:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV +0.840%E +0.215%K +0.290%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 20:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.61%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -1.75%E -0.459%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.55%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.47%EV -2.26%E -0.599%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.37%EV -2.28%E -0.719%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.79%EV -5.14%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.57%EV -3.04%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.64%EV -3.51%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.46%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -3.04%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.46%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -3.04%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.46%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -3.04%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.46%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -3.04%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -3.04%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.04%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 18:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.18%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -2.89%E -0.919%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-19 18:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.06%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.67%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.27%EV -3.51%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -11.63%E -5.70%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -11.63%E -5.70%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -11.63%E -5.70%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-19 19:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 20:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 19:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 19:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.45%EV -7.74%E -3.63%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 20:17 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 20:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -11.20%E -5.46%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -5.57%E -2.55%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -5.57%E -2.55%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-19 20:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.79%EV -7.30%E -3.41%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.06%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-19 20:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.60%E -3.66%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.60%E -3.66%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-19 22:58 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.60%E -3.66%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.60%E -3.66%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 20:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.94%EV -13.37%E -6.68%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.26%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.81%EV -16.77%E -6.21%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-19 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.20%E -5.46%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -14.67%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -10.60%E -3.66%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-19 20:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.97% | 0.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.97% | 0.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.97% | 0.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.79% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.09% | 2.1% | 2026-05-19 23:00 |