La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Independiente Santa Fe v Platense
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Independiente Santa Fe (Casa)
Previsione 43.32%2.31quota equa
EV -4.70%
Vantaggio -2.14%
Kelly -3.92%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.50%43.47%43.27%44.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.122.122.2050.00%47.10%47.17%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Platense (Trasferta)
Previsione 25.86%3.87quota equa
EV +0.840%
Vantaggio +0.215%
Kelly +0.290%
Crescita +0.002%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.40%25.71%25.85%26.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.653.653.9030.30%27.38%27.40%25.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 30.83%3.24quota equa
EV -1.35%
Vantaggio -0.423%
Kelly -0.615%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.15%30.82%30.88%31.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.033.053.2037.04%32.97%32.79%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (39 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.41%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.05%EV +0.840%E +0.215%K +0.290%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.53%EV -1.35%E -0.423%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.41%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.05%EV +0.840%E +0.215%K +0.290%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.53%EV -1.35%E -0.423%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV +0.840%E +0.215%K +0.290%G +0.002% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.24%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-19 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV +0.840%E +0.215%K +0.290%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 20:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV +0.840%E +0.215%K +0.290%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 20:49 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.61%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -1.75%E -0.459%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.55%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.47%EV -2.26%E -0.599%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.37%EV -2.28%E -0.719%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.79%EV -5.14%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.57%EV -3.04%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.64%EV -3.51%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.46%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -3.04%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.46%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -3.04%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.46%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -3.04%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.46%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -3.04%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -3.04%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.04%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 18:19 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.18%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -2.89%E -0.919%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-19 18:30 |
| GTbets | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.06%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.67%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.27%EV -3.51%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -11.63%E -5.70%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -11.63%E -5.70%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -11.63%E -5.70%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-19 19:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 20:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 19:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 19:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.45%EV -7.74%E -3.63%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 20:17 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 20:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -11.20%E -5.46%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 18:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -5.57%E -2.55%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -5.57%E -2.55%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-19 20:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.79%EV -7.30%E -3.41%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.06%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-19 20:20 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.60%E -3.66%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.60%E -3.66%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-19 22:58 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.60%E -3.66%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.60%E -3.66%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 20:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.94%EV -13.37%E -6.68%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.26%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.81%EV -16.77%E -6.21%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-19 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.20%E -5.46%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -14.67%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -10.60%E -3.66%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-19 20:20 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.97% | 0.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.97% | 0.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.97% | 0.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.79% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.09% | 2.1% | 2026-05-19 23:00 |