L’École des cotesFrançais
Independiente Santa Fe v Platense
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Independiente Santa Fe (Local)
Prévision 43.32%2.31cote équitable
EV -4.70%
Avantage -2.14%
Kelly -3.92%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.50%43.47%43.27%44.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.122.122.2050.00%47.10%47.17%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Platense (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.86%3.87cote équitable
EV +0.840%
Avantage +0.215%
Kelly +0.290%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 3.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.40%25.71%25.85%26.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.653.653.9030.30%27.38%27.40%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.83%3.24cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -0.423%
Kelly -0.615%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.15%30.82%30.88%31.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.033.053.2037.04%32.97%32.79%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.41%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.05%EV +0.840%E +0.215%K +0.290%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.53%EV -1.35%E -0.423%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.41%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.05%EV +0.840%E +0.215%K +0.290%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.53%EV -1.35%E -0.423%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV +0.840%E +0.215%K +0.290%G +0.002% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.24%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-19 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV +0.840%E +0.215%K +0.290%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 20:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV +0.840%E +0.215%K +0.290%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 20:49 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.61%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -1.75%E -0.459%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.55%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.47%EV -2.26%E -0.599%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.37%EV -2.28%E -0.719%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.79%EV -5.14%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.57%EV -3.04%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.64%EV -3.51%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.46%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -3.04%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.46%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -3.04%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.46%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -3.04%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.46%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -3.04%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -3.04%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.04%E -0.810%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 18:19 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.18%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -2.89%E -0.919%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-19 18:30 |
| GTbets | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.06%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.67%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.27%EV -3.51%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -11.63%E -5.70%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -11.63%E -5.70%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -11.63%E -5.70%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-19 21:50 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-19 19:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 20:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 19:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 19:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.45%EV -7.74%E -3.63%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 20:17 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 20:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -11.20%E -5.46%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 18:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -5.57%E -2.55%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -5.57%E -2.55%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-19 20:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.79%EV -7.30%E -3.41%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.06%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-19 20:20 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.60%E -3.66%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.60%E -3.66%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-19 22:58 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.60%E -3.66%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.50%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.60%E -3.66%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 20:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.94%EV -13.37%E -6.68%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.26%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.81%EV -16.77%E -6.21%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-19 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.20%E -5.46%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -14.67%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -10.60%E -3.66%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-19 20:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.97% | 0.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.97% | 0.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.97% | 0.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.79% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.09% | 2.1% | 2026-05-19 23:00 |