Language:English
Independiente del Valle v Rosario Central
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Independiente del Valle (Local)
Prediction 46.40%2.16fair odd
EV -0.249%
Edge -0.116%
Kelly -0.216%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.24%46.36%46.52%47.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.012.002.1552.36%49.80%50.00%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rosario Central (Visit)
Prediction 24.76%4.04fair odd
EV -0.966%
Edge -0.242%
Kelly -0.322%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%24.79%24.62%25.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.753.754.0029.41%26.69%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.85%3.47fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.23%28.85%28.86%29.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.253.3533.33%31.20%30.77%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Independiente del Valle (Local): 46.40%; Rosario Central (Visit): 24.76%; Draw: 28.85%. For Independiente del Valle (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -0.249%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.24%EV -0.249%E -0.116%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.89%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.91%EV -8.27%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 21:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.47%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40%EV -0.966%E -0.242%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.13%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.47%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40%EV -0.966%E -0.242%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.13%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.16%EV -4.42%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.45%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.61%EV -4.18%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -5.10%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 21:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.94%EV -5.82%E -2.87%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.62%EV -4.18%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 21:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.94%EV -5.82%E -2.87%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.62%EV -4.18%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 21:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.23%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -0.966%E -0.242%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.74%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -3.44%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.68%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 21:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.68%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.68%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.68%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 21:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.63%E -2.64%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-27 21:30 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.48%EV -6.74%E -3.36%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.78%EV -6.66%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -6.54%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-27 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -4.68%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-27 21:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-27 21:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-27 21:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-27 21:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.87%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-27 21:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-27 21:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-27 21:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-27 21:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-27 21:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -12.11%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-27 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.91%EV -8.14%E -4.11%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.04%EV -10.13%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.04%EV -9.71%E -3.10%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-27 21:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -9.53%E -4.89%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.44%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-27 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -9.53%E -4.89%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-27 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -9.53%E -4.89%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-27 21:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -9.99%E -5.15%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.53%EV -9.99%E -5.15%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -15.82%E -4.65%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-27 21:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV -10.46%E -5.42%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.87%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-27 21:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -11.38%E -5.96%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-27 21:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.86% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44% | 0.5% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.86% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44% | 0.5% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.86% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44% | 0.5% | 2026-05-27 21:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83% | 0.5% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |