La escuela de los momios

Independiente del Valle v Rosario Central

Inicio: 2026-05-27 22:00 UTC

Final: Independiente del Valle 1–0 Rosario Central

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Independiente del Valle (Local)

Predicción 46.40%2.16momio equitativo
EV -0.249%
Ventaja -0.116%
Kelly -0.216%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.24%46.36%46.52%47.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.012.002.1552.36%49.80%50.00%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rosario Central (Visitante)

Predicción 24.76%4.04momio equitativo
EV -0.966%
Ventaja -0.242%
Kelly -0.322%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.81%24.79%24.62%25.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.753.754.0029.41%26.69%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.85%3.47momio equitativo
EV -3.37%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.23%28.85%28.86%29.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.213.253.3533.33%31.20%30.77%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 44.24%EV -0.249%E -0.116%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.89%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.91%EV -8.27%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 21:09
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.47%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40%EV -0.966%E -0.242%K -0.322%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.13%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-27 21:29
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 46.47%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40%EV -0.966%E -0.242%K -0.322%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.13%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-27 21:29
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.16%EV -4.42%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 21:50
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 46.45%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.61%EV -4.18%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -5.10%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 21:50
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 21:49
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 21:49
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.94%EV -5.82%E -2.87%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.62%EV -4.18%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 21:49
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.94%EV -5.82%E -2.87%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.62%EV -4.18%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 21:49
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.23%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -0.966%E -0.242%K -0.322%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 21:29
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.74%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -3.44%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 21:30
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.68%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 21:30
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.68%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 21:29
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.68%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 21:29
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.68%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 21:30
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 21:50
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 21:50
Codere (IT)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.63%E -2.64%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-27 21:30
Suprabets2.01I 49.75%NM 46.48%EV -6.74%E -3.36%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.78%EV -6.66%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 21:45
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 21:29
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -6.54%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-27 21:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -4.68%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-27 21:29
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 21:20
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 21:19
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 21:49
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-27 21:49
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.87%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-27 21:19
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-27 21:39
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-27 21:39
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-27 21:39
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-27 21:39
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -12.11%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-27 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-27 21:29
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-27 21:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-27 21:29
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-27 21:29
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.91%EV -8.14%E -4.11%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.04%EV -10.13%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.04%EV -9.71%E -3.10%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-27 21:39
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -9.53%E -4.89%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.44%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-27 21:49
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -9.53%E -4.89%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-27 21:30
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -9.53%E -4.89%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-27 21:30
PMU (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -9.99%E -5.15%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-27 21:29
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.53%EV -9.99%E -5.15%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -15.82%E -4.65%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-27 21:29
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV -10.46%E -5.42%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.87%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-27 21:39
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -11.38%E -5.96%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-27 21:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44%0.5%2026-05-27 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44%0.5%2026-05-27 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44%0.5%2026-05-27 21:40
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%0.5%2026-05-27 21:50