La scuola delle quote

Independiente del Valle v Rosario Central

Inizio: 2026-05-27 22:00 UTC

Finale: Independiente del Valle 1–0 Rosario Central

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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44 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Independiente del Valle (Casa)

Previsione 46.40%2.16quota equa
EV -0.249%
Vantaggio -0.116%
Kelly -0.216%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.24%46.36%46.52%47.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.012.002.1552.36%49.80%50.00%46.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rosario Central (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.76%4.04quota equa
EV -0.966%
Vantaggio -0.242%
Kelly -0.322%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.81%24.79%24.62%25.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.753.754.0029.41%26.69%26.67%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.85%3.47quota equa
EV -3.37%
Vantaggio -1.01%
Kelly -1.43%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.23%28.85%28.86%29.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.213.253.3533.33%31.20%30.77%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 44.24%EV -0.249%E -0.116%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.89%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.91%EV -8.27%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 21:09
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.47%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40%EV -0.966%E -0.242%K -0.322%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.13%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-27 21:29
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 46.47%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40%EV -0.966%E -0.242%K -0.322%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.13%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-27 21:29
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.16%EV -4.42%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 21:50
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 46.45%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.61%EV -4.18%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -5.10%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 21:50
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 21:49
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 21:49
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.94%EV -5.82%E -2.87%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.62%EV -4.18%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 21:49
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.94%EV -5.82%E -2.87%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.62%EV -4.18%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -3.37%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 21:49
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.23%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -0.966%E -0.242%K -0.322%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 21:29
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.74%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -3.44%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 21:30
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.68%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 21:30
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.68%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 21:29
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.68%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 21:29
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.68%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 21:30
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 21:50
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 21:50
Codere (IT)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.63%E -2.64%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-27 21:30
Suprabets2.01I 49.75%NM 46.48%EV -6.74%E -3.36%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.78%EV -6.66%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 21:45
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 21:29
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -6.54%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-27 21:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -4.68%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-27 21:29
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 21:20
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 21:19
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 21:49
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-27 21:49
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.87%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-27 21:19
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-27 21:39
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-27 21:39
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-27 21:39
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-27 21:39
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -12.11%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-27 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-27 21:29
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-27 21:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-27 21:29
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-27 21:29
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.91%EV -8.14%E -4.11%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.04%EV -10.13%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.04%EV -9.71%E -3.10%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-27 21:39
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -9.53%E -4.89%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.44%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-27 21:49
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -9.53%E -4.89%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-27 21:30
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -9.53%E -4.89%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-27 21:30
PMU (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -9.99%E -5.15%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-27 21:29
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.53%EV -9.99%E -5.15%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -15.82%E -4.65%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-27 21:29
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV -10.46%E -5.42%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.87%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-27 21:39
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -11.38%E -5.96%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-27 21:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44%0.5%2026-05-27 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44%0.5%2026-05-27 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44%0.5%2026-05-27 21:40
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%0.5%2026-05-27 21:50