La scuola delle quote

Fluminense-RJ v Independiente Rivadavia

Inizio: 2026-04-16 00:32 UTC

Finale: Fluminense-RJ 1–2 Independiente Rivadavia

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

46 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Fluminense-RJ (Casa)

Previsione 54.27%1.84quota equa
EV -4.48%
Vantaggio -2.54%
Kelly -5.89%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.76

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.63%54.42%54.11%57.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.681.701.7663.69%59.35%58.82%56.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Independiente Rivadavia (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.41%5.43quota equa
EV +12.31%
Vantaggio +2.02%
Kelly +2.41%
Crescita +0.297%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.74%18.30%18.61%20.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.305.175.006.1023.26%19.33%20.00%16.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.31%3.66quota equa
EV -0.303%
Vantaggio -0.083%
Kelly -0.114%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.72%27.28%27.28%28.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.413.403.6533.33%29.35%29.41%27.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 57.32%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.98%EV +12.31%E +2.02%K +2.41%G +0.297%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%EV -0.303%E -0.083%K -0.114%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-16 00:30
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.32%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.98%EV +12.31%E +2.02%K +2.41%G +0.297%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%EV -0.303%E -0.083%K -0.114%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-16 00:30
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 56.80%EV -9.90%E -5.97%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.26%EV +6.78%E +1.17%K +1.41%G +0.096%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 00:15
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 57.32%EV -10.99%E -6.70%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV +6.78%E +1.17%K +1.41%G +0.096%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -3.03%E -0.855%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 00:29
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.32%EV -10.99%E -6.70%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV +6.78%E +1.17%K +1.41%G +0.096%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -3.03%E -0.855%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 00:30
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 57.32%EV -10.99%E -6.70%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV +6.78%E +1.17%K +1.41%G +0.096%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -3.03%E -0.855%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.32%EV -10.99%E -6.70%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV +6.78%E +1.17%K +1.41%G +0.096%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -3.03%E -0.855%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 00:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.25%EV -11.53%E -7.08%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV +6.78%E +1.17%K +1.41%G +0.096%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 00:29
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -14.25%E -9.02%K -24.56%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV +5.86%E +1.02%K +1.23%G +0.072%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-16 00:30
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -14.25%E -9.02%K -24.56%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV +5.86%E +1.02%K +1.23%G +0.072%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-16 00:30
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.64%EV -14.79%E -9.42%K -25.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV +5.86%E +1.02%K +1.23%G +0.072%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-16 00:30
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.84%EV +4.02%E +0.712%K +0.865%G +0.035%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 00:30
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.84%EV +4.02%E +0.712%K +0.865%G +0.035%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 00:29
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.11%EV -5.56%E -3.20%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.09%EV +3.29%E +0.586%K +0.713%G +0.023%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.80%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 00:29
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.05%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV +1.26%E +0.229%K +0.280%G +0.004%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 00:29
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.16%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.580%E -0.107%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%EV -0.303%E -0.083%K -0.114%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 00:29
Suprabets1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -0.580%E -0.107%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 00:25
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.42%EV -7.19%E -4.20%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.88%EV -2.42%E -0.457%K -0.563%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -3.03%E -0.855%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 00:29
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -7.19%E -4.20%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -4.26%E -0.820%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 00:29
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.32%EV -4.48%E -2.54%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -1.67%E -0.464%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 00:22
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -6.65%E -3.86%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 00:29
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 00:30
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -6.65%E -3.86%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 00:28
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -6.65%E -3.86%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 00:29
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 00:29
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-16 00:30
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-16 00:29
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-16 00:29
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-16 00:29
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -12.59%E -3.94%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-16 00:30
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.27%EV -8.28%E -4.90%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.72%EV -8.13%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.02%EV -1.94%E -0.541%K -0.750%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 00:29
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -8.86%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 00:29
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -8.82%E -5.25%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 18.85%EV -9.05%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.72%EV -1.12%E -0.310%K -0.428%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 00:29
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.73%EV -8.82%E -5.25%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -9.79%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.50%EV -5.22%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-16 00:28
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.89%EV -8.82%E -5.25%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.67%EV -10.71%E -2.21%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-16 00:30
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -11.63%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-16 00:30
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.25%EV -5.56%E -3.20%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -12.55%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 00:30
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -15.31%E -3.33%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-16 00:30
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.31%E -3.33%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-16 00:28
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.31%E -3.33%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-16 00:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.31%E -3.33%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-16 00:28
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.31%E -3.33%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-16 00:29
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -9.36%E -5.61%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -17.15%E -3.81%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-16 00:30
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.81%EV -12.08%E -7.45%K -19.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -17.15%E -3.81%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.82%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-16 00:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.63%EV -12.08%E -7.45%K -19.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.95%EV -17.15%E -3.81%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.42%EV -18.06%E -6.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-16 00:30
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.72%EV -9.90%E -5.97%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.35%EV -20.83%E -4.84%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-16 00:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-04-16 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-04-16 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.67%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.80%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-04-16 00:30
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.60%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.68%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.72%1.6%2026-04-16 00:29