StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Fluminense-RJ v Independiente Rivadavia

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-16 00:32 UTC

Endstand: Fluminense-RJ 1–2 Independiente Rivadavia

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

46 Wettanbieter (13 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Fluminense-RJ (Heim)

Prognose 54.27%1.84faire Quote
EV -4.48%
Vorteil -2.54%
Kelly -5.89%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.76

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
52.63%54.42%54.11%57.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.571.681.701.7663.69%59.35%58.82%56.82%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Independiente Rivadavia (Auswärts)

Prognose 18.41%5.43faire Quote
EV +12.31%
Vorteil +2.02%
Kelly +2.41%
Wachstum +0.297%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
15.74%18.30%18.61%20.35%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.305.175.006.1023.26%19.33%20.00%16.39%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 27.31%3.66faire Quote
EV -0.303%
Vorteil -0.083%
Kelly -0.114%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.65

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.72%27.28%27.28%28.42%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.003.413.403.6533.33%29.35%29.41%27.40%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Fluminense-RJ (Heim): 54.27%; Independiente Rivadavia (Auswärts): 18.41%; Unentschieden: 27.31%. Für Independiente Rivadavia (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.43. 15 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 6.10 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +12.31%.

Wettanbieterquoten (46 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.32%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.98%EV +12.31%E +2.02%K +2.41%G +0.297%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%EV -0.303%E -0.083%K -0.114%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-16 00:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.32%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.98%EV +12.31%E +2.02%K +2.41%G +0.297%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%EV -0.303%E -0.083%K -0.114%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-16 00:30
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.80%EV -9.90%E -5.97%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.26%EV +6.78%E +1.17%K +1.41%G +0.096%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 00:15
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.32%EV -10.99%E -6.70%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV +6.78%E +1.17%K +1.41%G +0.096%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -3.03%E -0.855%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 00:29
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.32%EV -10.99%E -6.70%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV +6.78%E +1.17%K +1.41%G +0.096%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -3.03%E -0.855%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 00:30
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.32%EV -10.99%E -6.70%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV +6.78%E +1.17%K +1.41%G +0.096%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -3.03%E -0.855%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 00:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.32%EV -10.99%E -6.70%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV +6.78%E +1.17%K +1.41%G +0.096%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -3.03%E -0.855%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 00:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.25%EV -11.53%E -7.08%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV +6.78%E +1.17%K +1.41%G +0.096%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 00:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -14.25%E -9.02%K -24.56%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV +5.86%E +1.02%K +1.23%G +0.072%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-16 00:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -14.25%E -9.02%K -24.56%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV +5.86%E +1.02%K +1.23%G +0.072%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-16 00:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.64%EV -14.79%E -9.42%K -25.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV +5.86%E +1.02%K +1.23%G +0.072%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-16 00:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.84%EV +4.02%E +0.712%K +0.865%G +0.035%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 00:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.84%EV +4.02%E +0.712%K +0.865%G +0.035%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 00:29
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.11%EV -5.56%E -3.20%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.09%EV +3.29%E +0.586%K +0.713%G +0.023%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.80%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 00:29
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.05%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV +1.26%E +0.229%K +0.280%G +0.004%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 00:29
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.16%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.580%E -0.107%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%EV -0.303%E -0.083%K -0.114%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 00:29
Suprabets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -0.580%E -0.107%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 00:25
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.42%EV -7.19%E -4.20%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.88%EV -2.42%E -0.457%K -0.563%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -3.03%E -0.855%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 00:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -7.19%E -4.20%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -4.26%E -0.820%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 00:29
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.32%EV -4.48%E -2.54%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -1.67%E -0.464%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 00:22
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -6.65%E -3.86%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 00:29
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 00:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -6.65%E -3.86%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 00:28
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -6.65%E -3.86%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 00:29
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 00:29
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-16 00:30
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-16 00:29
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-16 00:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-16 00:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -12.59%E -3.94%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-16 00:30
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.27%EV -8.28%E -4.90%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.72%EV -8.13%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.02%EV -1.94%E -0.541%K -0.750%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 00:29
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -8.86%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 00:29
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -8.82%E -5.25%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 18.85%EV -9.05%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.72%EV -1.12%E -0.310%K -0.428%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 00:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.73%EV -8.82%E -5.25%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -9.79%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.50%EV -5.22%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-16 00:28
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.89%EV -8.82%E -5.25%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.67%EV -10.71%E -2.21%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-16 00:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -11.63%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-16 00:30
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.25%EV -5.56%E -3.20%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -12.55%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 00:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -15.31%E -3.33%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-16 00:30
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.31%E -3.33%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-16 00:28
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.31%E -3.33%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-16 00:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.31%E -3.33%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-16 00:28
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.31%E -3.33%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-16 00:29
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -9.36%E -5.61%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -17.15%E -3.81%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-16 00:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.81%EV -12.08%E -7.45%K -19.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -17.15%E -3.81%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.82%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-16 00:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 52.63%EV -12.08%E -7.45%K -19.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.95%EV -17.15%E -3.81%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.42%EV -18.06%E -6.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-16 00:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.72%EV -9.90%E -5.97%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.35%EV -20.83%E -4.84%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-16 00:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-04-16 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-04-16 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.67%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.80%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-04-16 00:30
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.60%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.68%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.72%1.6%2026-04-16 00:29