L’École des cotesFrançais
Fluminense-RJ v Independiente Rivadavia
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fluminense-RJ (Local)
Prévision 54.27%1.84cote équitable
EV -4.48%
Avantage -2.54%
Kelly -5.89%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.76
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%54.42%54.11%57.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.681.701.7663.69%59.35%58.82%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Independiente Rivadavia (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.41%5.43cote équitable
EV +12.31%
Avantage +2.02%
Kelly +2.41%
Croissance +0.297%
avec la cote maximale 6.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.74%18.30%18.61%20.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.305.175.006.1023.26%19.33%20.00%16.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.31%3.66cote équitable
EV -0.303%
Avantage -0.083%
Kelly -0.114%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.72%27.28%27.28%28.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.413.403.6533.33%29.35%29.41%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.32%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.98%EV +12.31%E +2.02%K +2.41%G +0.297% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%EV -0.303%E -0.083%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.32%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.98%EV +12.31%E +2.02%K +2.41%G +0.297% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%EV -0.303%E -0.083%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.80%EV -9.90%E -5.97%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.26%EV +6.78%E +1.17%K +1.41%G +0.096% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 00:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.32%EV -10.99%E -6.70%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV +6.78%E +1.17%K +1.41%G +0.096% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -3.03%E -0.855%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.32%EV -10.99%E -6.70%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV +6.78%E +1.17%K +1.41%G +0.096% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -3.03%E -0.855%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.32%EV -10.99%E -6.70%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV +6.78%E +1.17%K +1.41%G +0.096% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -3.03%E -0.855%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.32%EV -10.99%E -6.70%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV +6.78%E +1.17%K +1.41%G +0.096% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -3.03%E -0.855%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.25%EV -11.53%E -7.08%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV +6.78%E +1.17%K +1.41%G +0.096% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -14.25%E -9.02%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV +5.86%E +1.02%K +1.23%G +0.072% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -14.25%E -9.02%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV +5.86%E +1.02%K +1.23%G +0.072% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.64%EV -14.79%E -9.42%K -25.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV +5.86%E +1.02%K +1.23%G +0.072% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.84%EV +4.02%E +0.712%K +0.865%G +0.035% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.84%EV +4.02%E +0.712%K +0.865%G +0.035% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.11%EV -5.56%E -3.20%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 17.09%EV +3.29%E +0.586%K +0.713%G +0.023% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.80%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.05%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV +1.26%E +0.229%K +0.280%G +0.004% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.16%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.580%E -0.107%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%EV -0.303%E -0.083%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Suprabets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -0.580%E -0.107%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 00:25 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.42%EV -7.19%E -4.20%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.88%EV -2.42%E -0.457%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -3.03%E -0.855%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -7.19%E -4.20%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -4.26%E -0.820%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Bovada | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.32%EV -4.48%E -2.54%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -1.67%E -0.464%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 00:22 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -6.65%E -3.86%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -6.65%E -3.86%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 00:28 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -6.65%E -3.86%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -12.59%E -3.94%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.27%EV -8.28%E -4.90%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 18.72%EV -8.13%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.02%EV -1.94%E -0.541%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -8.86%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| GTbets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -8.82%E -5.25%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 4.94I 20.24%NM 18.85%EV -9.05%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.72%EV -1.12%E -0.310%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.73%EV -8.82%E -5.25%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -9.79%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.50%EV -5.22%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-16 00:28 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.89%EV -8.82%E -5.25%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.67%EV -10.71%E -2.21%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -11.63%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.25%EV -5.56%E -3.20%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -12.55%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -15.31%E -3.33%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.31%E -3.33%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-16 00:28 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.31%E -3.33%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.31%E -3.33%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-16 00:28 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.31%E -3.33%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -9.36%E -5.61%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -17.15%E -3.81%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.81%EV -12.08%E -7.45%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -17.15%E -3.81%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.82%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.63%EV -12.08%E -7.45%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.95%EV -17.15%E -3.81%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.42%EV -18.06%E -6.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.72%EV -9.90%E -5.97%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.35%EV -20.83%E -4.84%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.67% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.80% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53% | 0.9% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.60% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.68% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.72% | 1.6% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |