La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Fluminense-RJ v Independiente Rivadavia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fluminense-RJ (Local)
Predicción 54.27%1.84momio equitativo
EV -4.48%
Ventaja -2.54%
Kelly -5.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%54.42%54.11%57.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.681.701.7663.69%59.35%58.82%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Independiente Rivadavia (Visitante)
Predicción 18.41%5.43momio equitativo
EV +12.31%
Ventaja +2.02%
Kelly +2.41%
Crecimiento +0.297%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.74%18.30%18.61%20.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.305.175.006.1023.26%19.33%20.00%16.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.31%3.66momio equitativo
EV -0.303%
Ventaja -0.083%
Kelly -0.114%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.72%27.28%27.28%28.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.413.403.6533.33%29.35%29.41%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.32%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.98%EV +12.31%E +2.02%K +2.41%G +0.297% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%EV -0.303%E -0.083%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.32%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.98%EV +12.31%E +2.02%K +2.41%G +0.297% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%EV -0.303%E -0.083%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.80%EV -9.90%E -5.97%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.26%EV +6.78%E +1.17%K +1.41%G +0.096% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 00:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.32%EV -10.99%E -6.70%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV +6.78%E +1.17%K +1.41%G +0.096% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -3.03%E -0.855%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.32%EV -10.99%E -6.70%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV +6.78%E +1.17%K +1.41%G +0.096% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -3.03%E -0.855%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.32%EV -10.99%E -6.70%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV +6.78%E +1.17%K +1.41%G +0.096% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -3.03%E -0.855%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.32%EV -10.99%E -6.70%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV +6.78%E +1.17%K +1.41%G +0.096% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -3.03%E -0.855%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.25%EV -11.53%E -7.08%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV +6.78%E +1.17%K +1.41%G +0.096% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -14.25%E -9.02%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV +5.86%E +1.02%K +1.23%G +0.072% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -14.25%E -9.02%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV +5.86%E +1.02%K +1.23%G +0.072% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.64%EV -14.79%E -9.42%K -25.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV +5.86%E +1.02%K +1.23%G +0.072% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.84%EV +4.02%E +0.712%K +0.865%G +0.035% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.84%EV +4.02%E +0.712%K +0.865%G +0.035% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.11%EV -5.56%E -3.20%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 17.09%EV +3.29%E +0.586%K +0.713%G +0.023% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.80%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.05%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV +1.26%E +0.229%K +0.280%G +0.004% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.16%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.580%E -0.107%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%EV -0.303%E -0.083%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Suprabets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -0.580%E -0.107%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 00:25 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.42%EV -7.19%E -4.20%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.88%EV -2.42%E -0.457%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -3.03%E -0.855%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -7.19%E -4.20%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -4.26%E -0.820%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Bovada | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.32%EV -4.48%E -2.54%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -1.67%E -0.464%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 00:22 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -6.65%E -3.86%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -6.65%E -3.86%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 00:28 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -6.65%E -3.86%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -7.94%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -12.59%E -3.94%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.27%EV -8.28%E -4.90%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 18.72%EV -8.13%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.02%EV -1.94%E -0.541%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -8.86%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| GTbets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -8.82%E -5.25%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 4.94I 20.24%NM 18.85%EV -9.05%E -1.83%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.72%EV -1.12%E -0.310%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.73%EV -8.82%E -5.25%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -9.79%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.50%EV -5.22%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-16 00:28 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.89%EV -8.82%E -5.25%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.67%EV -10.71%E -2.21%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -11.63%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.25%EV -5.56%E -3.20%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -12.55%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -15.31%E -3.33%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.31%E -3.33%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-16 00:28 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.31%E -3.33%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.31%E -3.33%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-16 00:28 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.31%E -3.33%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -9.36%E -5.61%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -17.15%E -3.81%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.81%EV -12.08%E -7.45%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -17.15%E -3.81%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.82%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.63%EV -12.08%E -7.45%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.95%EV -17.15%E -3.81%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.42%EV -18.06%E -6.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.72%EV -9.90%E -5.97%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.35%EV -20.83%E -4.84%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.67% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.80% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53% | 0.9% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.60% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.68% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.72% | 1.6% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |