Language:English
Cusco FC v Independiente Medellín
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cusco FC (Local)
Prediction 37.71%2.65fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.608%
Kelly -0.986%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.13%37.76%37.73%40.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.452.452.6144.44%40.85%40.82%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Independiente Medellín (Visit)
Prediction 34.02%2.94fair odd
EV +0.349%
Edge +0.118%
Kelly +0.179%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.91%33.91%34.09%35.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.752.752.9539.22%36.38%36.36%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.28%3.54fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.294%
Kelly -0.412%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.85%28.32%28.18%29.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.293.303.5032.26%30.42%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cusco FC (Local): 37.71%; Independiente Medellín (Visit): 34.02%; Draw: 28.28%. For Independiente Medellín (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.349%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.04%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 33.08%EV +0.349%E +0.118%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.88%EV -1.03%E -0.294%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.04%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 33.08%EV +0.349%E +0.118%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.88%EV -1.03%E -0.294%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -11.39%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV +0.349%E +0.118%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 01:48 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -12.14%E -5.21%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV +0.349%E +0.118%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-21 01:48 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.36%EV -6.49%E -2.62%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.81%EV -1.35%E -0.466%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 22:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.91%EV -1.59%E -0.608%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.80%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.28%EV -6.97%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-21 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-21 01:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.95%EV -8.37%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.21%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.95%EV -8.37%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.21%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.95%EV -8.37%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.21%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -15.16%E -6.74%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -6.49%E -2.62%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -4.07%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 01:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.08%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.49%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -6.11%E -2.45%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.42%EV -5.09%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -3.47%E -1.36%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.29%EV -5.77%E -2.08%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.61%EV -6.12%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.07%EV -7.24%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.81%EV -5.77%E -2.08%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.12%EV -5.84%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-21 01:38 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.45%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.45%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-21 01:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -11.39%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.45%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -11.39%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.45%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.23%EV -5.36%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.10%EV -6.79%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.66%EV -7.82%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-21 01:28 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.13%EV -2.72%E -1.05%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -7.48%E -2.75%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -10.93%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-21 01:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-21 01:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.59%EV -8.00%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.61%EV -9.86%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-21 01:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -9.86%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 01:38 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -10.88%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-21 01:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -10.88%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-21 01:38 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.56%E -4.45%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.56%E -4.45%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -11.56%E -4.45%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -11.56%E -4.45%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.64%E -4.49%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -11.56%E -4.45%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.64%E -4.49%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -11.56%E -4.45%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.97%EV -11.39%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -13.26%E -5.20%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-21 01:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.87% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.07% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.87% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.07% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.87% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.07% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.72% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60% | 2.4% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |