L’École des cotesFrançais
Cusco FC v Independiente Medellín
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cusco FC (Local)
Prévision 37.71%2.65cote équitable
EV -1.59%
Avantage -0.608%
Kelly -0.986%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.61
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.13%37.76%37.73%40.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.452.452.6144.44%40.85%40.82%38.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Independiente Medellín (Visiteur)
Prévision 34.02%2.94cote équitable
EV +0.349%
Avantage +0.118%
Kelly +0.179%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 2.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.91%33.91%34.09%35.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.752.752.9539.22%36.38%36.36%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.28%3.54cote équitable
EV -1.03%
Avantage -0.294%
Kelly -0.412%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.85%28.32%28.18%29.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.293.303.5032.26%30.42%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.04%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 33.08%EV +0.349%E +0.118%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.88%EV -1.03%E -0.294%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.04%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 33.08%EV +0.349%E +0.118%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.88%EV -1.03%E -0.294%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -11.39%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV +0.349%E +0.118%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 01:48 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -12.14%E -5.21%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV +0.349%E +0.118%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-21 01:48 |
| Coolbet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.36%EV -6.49%E -2.62%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.81%EV -1.35%E -0.466%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 22:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.91%EV -1.59%E -0.608%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.80%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.28%EV -6.97%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-21 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-21 01:00 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.95%EV -8.37%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.21%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.95%EV -8.37%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.21%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.95%EV -8.37%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.21%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -15.16%E -6.74%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -6.49%E -2.62%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -4.07%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 01:39 |
| BetUS | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.08%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.49%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| Everygame | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -6.11%E -2.45%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.42%EV -5.09%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -3.47%E -1.36%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.29%EV -5.77%E -2.08%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.61%EV -6.12%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| GTbets | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.07%EV -7.24%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.81%EV -5.77%E -2.08%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.12%EV -5.84%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-21 01:38 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.45%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.45%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-21 01:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -11.39%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.45%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -11.39%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.45%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Suprabets | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.23%EV -5.36%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.10%EV -6.79%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.66%EV -7.82%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-21 01:28 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.13%EV -2.72%E -1.05%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -7.48%E -2.75%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -10.93%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-21 01:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-21 01:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.59%EV -8.00%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.61%EV -9.86%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-21 01:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -9.86%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 01:38 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -10.88%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-21 01:39 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -10.88%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-21 01:38 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.56%E -4.45%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.56%E -4.45%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| Neds | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -11.56%E -4.45%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -11.56%E -4.45%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.64%E -4.49%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -11.56%E -4.45%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.64%E -4.49%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -11.56%E -4.45%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.97%EV -11.39%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -13.26%E -5.20%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-21 01:39 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.87% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.07% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.87% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.07% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.87% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.07% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.72% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60% | 2.4% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |