La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Cusco FC v Independiente Medellín
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cusco FC (Local)
Predicción 37.71%2.65momio equitativo
EV -1.59%
Ventaja -0.608%
Kelly -0.986%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.13%37.76%37.73%40.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.452.452.6144.44%40.85%40.82%38.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Independiente Medellín (Visitante)
Predicción 34.02%2.94momio equitativo
EV +0.349%
Ventaja +0.118%
Kelly +0.179%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.91%33.91%34.09%35.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.752.752.9539.22%36.38%36.36%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.28%3.54momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.294%
Kelly -0.412%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.85%28.32%28.18%29.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.293.303.5032.26%30.42%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.04%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 33.08%EV +0.349%E +0.118%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.88%EV -1.03%E -0.294%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.04%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 33.08%EV +0.349%E +0.118%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.88%EV -1.03%E -0.294%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -11.39%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV +0.349%E +0.118%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 01:48 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -12.14%E -5.21%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV +0.349%E +0.118%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-21 01:48 |
| Coolbet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.36%EV -6.49%E -2.62%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.81%EV -1.35%E -0.466%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 22:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.91%EV -1.59%E -0.608%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.80%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.28%EV -6.97%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-21 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-21 01:00 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.95%EV -8.37%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.21%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.95%EV -8.37%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.21%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.95%EV -8.37%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.21%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -15.16%E -6.74%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -3.05%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -6.49%E -2.62%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -4.07%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 01:39 |
| BetUS | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.08%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.49%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| Everygame | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -6.11%E -2.45%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.42%EV -5.09%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -3.47%E -1.36%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.29%EV -5.77%E -2.08%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.61%EV -6.12%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| GTbets | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.07%EV -7.24%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.81%EV -5.77%E -2.08%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.12%EV -5.84%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-21 01:38 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.45%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.45%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-21 01:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -11.39%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.45%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -11.39%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.45%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Suprabets | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.23%EV -5.36%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.10%EV -6.79%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.66%EV -7.82%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-21 01:28 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.13%EV -2.72%E -1.05%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -7.48%E -2.75%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -10.93%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-21 01:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-21 01:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.59%EV -8.00%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.61%EV -9.86%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-21 01:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -9.86%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 01:38 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -10.88%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-21 01:39 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -10.88%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-21 01:38 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.56%E -4.45%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.56%E -4.45%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| Neds | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -11.56%E -4.45%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -11.56%E -4.45%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.64%E -4.49%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -11.56%E -4.45%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.64%E -4.49%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -11.56%E -4.45%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.97%EV -11.39%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -13.26%E -5.20%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-21 01:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.87% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.07% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.87% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.07% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.87% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.07% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.72% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60% | 2.4% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |