Language:English
Corinthians-SP v Platense
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Corinthians-SP (Local)
Prediction 55.45%1.80fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -3.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.48%55.44%55.40%56.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.681.681.7562.50%59.66%59.52%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Platense (Visit)
Prediction 16.80%5.95fair odd
EV +9.22%
Edge +1.42%
Kelly +1.68%
Growth +0.155%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.41%16.87%16.90%18.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.625.616.5020.83%17.80%17.83%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.75%3.60fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -0.664%
Kelly -0.927%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.74%27.70%27.70%28.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.343.353.5231.25%29.93%29.85%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Corinthians-SP (Local): 55.45%; Platense (Visit): 16.80%; Draw: 27.75%. For Platense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.95. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.22%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.77%EV -8.51%E -5.15%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV +9.22%E +1.42%K +1.68%G +0.155% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.28%EV +0.820%E +0.137%K +0.164%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91%EV -2.89%E -0.826%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.28%EV +0.820%E +0.137%K +0.164%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91%EV -2.89%E -0.826%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -10.17%E -6.28%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV +0.820%E +0.137%K +0.164%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -11.22%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-28 00:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.49%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 15.92%EV +0.148%E +0.025%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.59%EV -4.56%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.36%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.42%EV -2.54%E -0.438%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -2.89%E -0.826%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 23:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.36%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.42%EV -2.54%E -0.438%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -2.89%E -0.826%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 23:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.62%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.40%EV -2.54%E -0.438%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.77%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.35%EV -2.54%E -0.438%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.83%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -2.54%E -0.438%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.83%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -2.54%E -0.438%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.83%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -2.54%E -0.438%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.83%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -2.54%E -0.438%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.83%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -2.54%E -0.438%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.58%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.79I 17.27%NM 16.42%EV -2.71%E -0.468%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.00%EV -2.34%E -0.664%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.40%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -3.38%E -0.588%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.57%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -3.38%E -0.588%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -2.89%E -0.826%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -8.51%E -5.15%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -3.38%E -0.588%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.46%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.64%EV -4.22%E -0.741%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.96%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.62I 17.79%NM 16.82%EV -5.57%E -0.990%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.78%EV -9.61%E -5.90%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.24%EV -5.90%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.78%EV -9.61%E -5.90%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.24%EV -5.90%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.78%EV -9.61%E -5.90%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.24%EV -5.90%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -7.58%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 23:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.82%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -7.58%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -8.44%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.58%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.58%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.34%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -7.58%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -11.22%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.79%EV -8.51%E -5.15%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -7.58%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -7.58%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -11.22%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -7.58%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -11.22%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -7.58%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -11.22%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -9.26%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -9.26%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -9.26%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.44%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-27 23:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.53%EV -9.06%E -5.52%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -9.26%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -8.44%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-28 00:07 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.66%EV -10.17%E -6.28%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.01%EV -10.94%E -2.06%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -8.44%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.68%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -11.78%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 23:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%EV -9.06%E -5.52%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -14.30%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-27 23:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.48%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -19.34%E -4.03%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.22%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.78%EV -11.28%E -7.05%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -19.34%E -4.03%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-27 23:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.41% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.41% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.41% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.76% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.95% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.29% | 2.4% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |